Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs Libertad Loja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito).

Liga Pro - Round 9
Referee: Miranda K. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.14	0.55
Ball possession
59%	41%
Total shots
18	9
Shots on target
7	3
Big chances
5	0
Corner kicks
6	2
Passes
89% (461/520)	85% (306/362)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.14	0.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.36	0.13
Total shots
18	9
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
5	2
Shots inside the box
14	5
Shots outside the box
4	4
Hit the woodwork
2	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
5	0
Corner kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
29	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	5
Free kicks
9	11
Passes
89% (461/520)	85% (306/362)
Long passes
51% (27/53)	52% (23/44)
Passes in final third
70% (90/128)	68% (68/100)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.50	0.50
Throw ins
10	13
Fouls
11	9
Tackles
89% (8/9)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
31	33
Clearances
14	21
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.13	1.36
Goals prevented
0.13	-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Fajardo J. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Valencia C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gruezo C. ↓, Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Jhon Chancellor ⚽, Mejia E. (A),
58', Alonso M. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
58', Rodriguez A. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
67', Valencia C. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
67', Guisamano J. ↓, Bueno S. ↑,
72', Mejia E. ↓, Rose E. ↑,
72', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
79', Coronel D. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Palacios D. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
90', Cacciabue J. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
90+2', Caicedo E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
67.9%

Draw
20.3%

Libertad Loja
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

21.6%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.4%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.46)	4.62 ↑ (4.25)	7.86 ↑ (6)	7.8% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 0.
Uni Católica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Libertad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Uni Católica is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Uni Católica will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Libertad Loja?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Libertad Loja has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja were as follows:

21.11.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 1:1

19.10.2025 Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1

16.08.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 1:1

28.04.2025 Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 3:1

10.08.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 1:2

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

12.04.2026 Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:2 ✺

08.04.2026 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec 1:1 ✺

04.04.2026 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City 4:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

17.03.2026 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Libertad Loja

11.04.2026 Orense - Libertad Loja 2:1 ✺

06.04.2026 Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa 2:2 ✺

21.03.2026 Delfín - Libertad Loja 0:0 ✺

18.03.2026 Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:0 ✺

13.03.2026 Técnico Universitario - Libertad Loja 2:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	12	9	1	2	22:13	9	28
2	U. Catolica	12	6	4	2	21:8	13	22
3	Barcelona SC	12	5	5	2	13:10	3	20
4	Aucas	12	5	4	3	14:11	3	19
5	Guayaquil City	12	5	3	4	10:11	-1	18
6	LDU Quito	12	5	2	5	10:10	0	17
7	Dep. Cuenca	12	5	2	5	14:16	-2	17
8	Mushuc Runa	12	4	4	4	15:13	2	16
9	Macara	12	4	4	4	13:12	1	16
10	Orense	12	4	4	4	17:17	0	16
11	Delfin	12	4	3	5	5:6	-1	15
12	Emelec	12	4	2	6	9:15	-6	14
13	Leones del Norte	12	3	4	5	10:12	-2	13
14	Libertad	12	3	4	5	11:16	-5	13
15	Tecnico U	12	3	2	7	9:13	-4	11
16	Manta	12	2	2	8	4:14	-10	8

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )