Result
18/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
64.8% | Draw
21.3% | Libertad Loja
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.46) |
4.39 ↑
(4.25) |
6.47 ↑
(6) |
8.5%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 0.
- Uni Católica is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Libertad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Uni Católica is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Uni Católica will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Libertad Loja?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Libertad Loja has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja were as follows:
21.11.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
19.10.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:1
16.08.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
28.04.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
3:1
10.08.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Libertad Loja
1:2
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Aucas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Tecnico U | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Delfin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Macara | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Mushuc Runa | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Libertad | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | LDU Quito | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Orense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Emelec | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
