Result
1:1
13/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (377/440) | 70% (150/215) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (377/440) | 70% (150/215) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (31/53) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (71/110) | 62% (47/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Oloko E. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Melnis B. ⚽,
- 34', Cucurs D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lizunovs V. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
- 46', Taty C. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Diedhiou B. (Pen),
- 62', Taty C. 🟨,
- 66', Galajs A. ↓, Skrebels R. ↑,
- 67', Diallo B. ↓, Ivanovs E. ↑,
- 70', Purtic S. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 70', Gueye D. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 73', Korobenko A. 🟨,
- 81', Oloko E. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 81', Vientiess O. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 90+1', Mihalcovs G. ↓, Murakami S. ↑,
- 90+3', Barkovskis N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Fofana W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Liepāja
58.4% | Draw
22.8% | BFC Daugavpils
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.5) |
4 ↓
(4.53) |
4.85 ↑
(4.72) |
9.5%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Daugavpils will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liepāja: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1.
- In recent matches, Liepāja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Daugavpils has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Liepāja is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:18. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against BFC Daugavpils?
Liepāja has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Liepāja?
BFC Daugavpils has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
19.04.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Liepāja
4:2
09.11.2024
Liepāja
-
BFC Daugavpils
3:3
24.08.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Liepāja
0:2
15.06.2024
Liepāja
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
28.04.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Liepāja
0:0
Latest results of Liepāja
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
