Result
2:1
09/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (336/401) | 79% (280/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (336/401) | 79% (280/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 57% (32/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (79/108) | 63% (55/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Traore A. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 30', Korobenko A. 🟨,
- 43', Iljins K. 🟨,
- 43', Lausic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Oloko E. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Gueye D. ⚽, Lausic M. (A),
- 56', Promise V. ↓, Lizunovs V. ↑,
- 57', Diakite T. 🟨,
- 58', Williams W. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 0, Ogunniyi A. ⚽, Iljins K. (A),
- 68', Mihalcovs G. ↓, Cucurs D. ↑,
- 69', Saidy M. ↓, Minins J. ↑,
- 74', Lizunovs V. 🟨,
- 76', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Melnis B. ↑,
- 76', Gueye D. ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 85', Lausic M. ↓, Saveljevs A. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Lizunovs V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Liepāja
57.2% | Draw
23.8% | BFC Daugavpils
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.59) |
3.86
(3.86) |
4.85 ↑
(4.83) |
8.7%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1.
- In recent matches, Liepāja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Daugavpils is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Liepāja is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against BFC Daugavpils?
Liepāja has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Liepāja?
BFC Daugavpils has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
13.06.2025
Liepāja
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
19.04.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Liepāja
4:2
09.11.2024
Liepāja
-
BFC Daugavpils
3:3
24.08.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Liepāja
0:2
15.06.2024
Liepāja
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
Latest results of Liepāja
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 67 |
| 2 | RFS | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 70:25 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 44 |
| 4 | Auda | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 34 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 24 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | Metta | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23:52 | -29 | 21 |
| 10 | Grobina | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 23:49 | -26 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
