Result
1:1
13/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.97 | 1.20 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
86% (377/440) | 70% (150/215) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.97 | 1.20 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.92 | 1.01 |
Total shots |
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7 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
86% (377/440) | 70% (150/215) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (31/53) | 41% (20/49) |
Passes in final third |
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65% (71/110) | 62% (47/76) |
Crosses |
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10% (2/20) | 14% (2/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.67 | 0.21 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (9/14) | 89% (8/9) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 47 |
Clearances |
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23 | 36 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.01 | 0.92 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.12 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Oloko E. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Melnis B. ⚽,
- 34', Cucurs D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lizunovs V. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
- 46', Taty C. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Diedhiou B. (Pen),
- 62', Taty C. 🟨,
- 66', Galajs A. ↓, Skrebels R. ↑,
- 67', Diallo B. ↓, Ivanovs E. ↑,
- 70', Purtic S. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 70', Gueye D. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 73', Korobenko A. 🟨,
- 81', Oloko E. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 81', Vientiess O. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 90+1', Mihalcovs G. ↓, Murakami S. ↑,
- 90+3', Barkovskis N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Fofana W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Liepāja 58.4% | Draw 22.8% | BFC Daugavpils 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.57 ↑ (1.5) |
4 ↓ (4.53) |
4.85 ↑ (4.72) |
9.5% (9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Daugavpils will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liepāja: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1.
- In recent matches, Liepāja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Daugavpils has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Liepāja is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:18. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against BFC Daugavpils?
Liepāja has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Liepāja?
BFC Daugavpils has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
19.04.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Liepāja
4:2
09.11.2024
Liepāja
-
BFC Daugavpils
3:3
24.08.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Liepāja
0:2
15.06.2024
Liepāja
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
28.04.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Liepāja
0:0
Latest results of Liepāja
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga