Result
0:1
13/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (365/466) | 81% (338/417) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (365/466) | 81% (338/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (25/61) | 51% (34/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (75/114) | 72% (97/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Panic S. ⚽, Odisharia L. (A),
- 15', Korotkovs I. 🟨,
- 17', Gueye D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Amatkarijo C. ↑,
- 46', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Fellipe Vieira ↑,
- 61', Dusalijevs N. ↓, Savalnieks R. ↑,
- 69', Haidara A. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 69', Gueye D. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 73', Odisharia L. 🟨,
- 83', Kouadio A. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Liepāja 18.9% | Draw 23.6% | RFS 57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Liepāja - RFS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.92 ↑ (4.75) |
3.94 ↓ (4.09) |
1.62 ↑ (1.58) |
7.6% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - RFS?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 2 - 40%). RFS will win (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. RFS (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Liepāja (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 50%). RFS (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1.
- In recent matches, Liepāja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- RFS is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Liepāja has had a series of home games.
- In this match, RFS is the team to beat.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:35. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against RFS?
Liepāja has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Liepāja?
RFS has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - RFS were as follows:
28.09.2025
Liepāja
-
RFS
2:2
04.07.2025
RFS
-
Liepāja
2:1
14.05.2025
Liepāja
-
RFS
2:1
29.03.2025
RFS
-
Liepāja
4:1
20.09.2024
RFS
-
Liepāja
2:0
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Auda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Riga FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Grobina | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Ogre United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | BFC Daugavpils | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga