Result
2:1
04/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (316/362) | 86% (371/429) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (316/362) | 86% (371/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (17/35) | 55% (29/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (83/107) | 77% (89/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Panic S. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Panic S. ⚽, Prenga H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Leidsman K. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 0, Lemajic D. ⚽, Odisharia L. (A),
- 64', Leidsman K. ↓, Oloko E. ↑,
- 65', Patijcuks D. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
- 71', Korobenko A. ↓, Melnis B. ↑,
- 71', Diaw M. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
- 72', Saveljevs A. 🟨,
- 79', Odisharia L. ↓, Diedhiou B. ↑,
- 79', Njie H. ↓, Ikaunieks D. ↑,
- 79', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
- 86', Nerugals J. 🟨,
- 90', Traore A. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 90+1', Lemajic D. ↓, Stuglis E. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Gueye D. ⚽, Samba T. (A),
Chances of winning
RFS
67.5% | Draw
19% | Liepāja
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
RFS - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↑
(1.28) |
4.82 ↓
(5.45) |
6.74 ↓
(7.14) |
9.4%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for RFS - Liepāja?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Liepāja will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RFS will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFS won 4.
- RFS is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Liepāja is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, RFS is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that RFS will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, RFS won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:12. (average 2.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, RFS won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 2.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Liepāja?
RFS has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against RFS?
Liepāja has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFS - Liepāja were as follows:
14.05.2025
Liepāja
-
RFS
2:1
29.03.2025
RFS
-
Liepāja
4:1
20.09.2024
RFS
-
Liepāja
2:0
01.07.2024
Liepāja
-
RFS
1:3
10.05.2024
RFS
-
Liepāja
4:1
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 67 |
| 2 | RFS | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 70:25 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 44 |
| 4 | Auda | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 35:30 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 37 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 24:32 | -8 | 29 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 29:49 | -20 | 25 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | Metta | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 25:56 | -31 | 21 |
| 10 | Grobina | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 23:50 | -27 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
