Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.77 | 2.10 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
84% (326/389) | 86% (399/463) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
6 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.77 | 2.10 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.64 | 1.92 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
0 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
84% (326/389) | 86% (399/463) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (25/49) | 53% (20/38) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (38/63) | 77% (115/150) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (3/11) | 33% (11/33) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.24 | 1.39 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
27% (3/11) | 72% (13/18) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
35 | 12 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.92 | 0.64 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.08 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Panic S. (Pen),
- 23', Silva A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, Gueye D. ⚽, Silva A. (A),
- 59', 2 - 1, Rakic S. (Own goal),
- 59', Talla M. ↓, Savalnieks R. ↑,
- 74', Diomande I. ↓, Konate F. ↑,
- 75', Diaw M. 🟨,
- 80', Diaw M. ↓, Isajevs V. ↑,
- 80', Saveljevs A. ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 84', Petkovic D. 🟨,
- 87', Isajevs V. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 2, Ikaunieks J. ⚽, Konate F. (A),
- 90', Zelenkovs D. ↓, Mares P. ↑,
- 90+1', Gueye D. 🟨,
- 90+8', Babic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Liepāja 25.3% | Draw 24.7% | RFS 50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RFS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RFS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Liepāja - RFS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.66 ↓ (4.97) |
3.75 ↓ (3.9) |
1.85 ↑ (1.58) |
8% (8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - RFS?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 1 - 20%). RFS will win (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- RFS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, RFS has had a series of home games.
- In this match, RFS is the team to beat.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:33. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against RFS?
Liepāja has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Liepāja?
RFS has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - RFS were as follows:
04.07.2025
RFS
-
Liepāja
2:1
14.05.2025
Liepāja
-
RFS
2:1
29.03.2025
RFS
-
Liepāja
4:1
20.09.2024
RFS
-
Liepāja
2:0
01.07.2024
Liepāja
-
RFS
1:3
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Riga FC | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 80:21 | 59 | 83 |
2 | RFS | 31 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 79:32 | 47 | 72 |
3 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
4 | Auda | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 44 |
5 | BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 47:55 | -8 | 43 |
6 | Jelgava | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 34 |
7 | Tukums 2000 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
8 | Grobina | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 29 |
9 | Super Nova | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 27 |
10 | Metta | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 30:63 | -33 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga