Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (326/389) | 86% (399/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (326/389) | 86% (399/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 53% (20/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (38/63) | 77% (115/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 33% (11/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Panic S. (Pen),
- 23', Silva A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, Gueye D. ⚽, Silva A. (A),
- 59', 2 - 1, Rakic S. (Own goal),
- 59', Talla M. ↓, Savalnieks R. ↑,
- 74', Diomande I. ↓, Konate F. ↑,
- 75', Diaw M. 🟨,
- 80', Diaw M. ↓, Isajevs V. ↑,
- 80', Saveljevs A. ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 84', Petkovic D. 🟨,
- 87', Isajevs V. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 2, Ikaunieks J. ⚽, Konate F. (A),
- 90', Zelenkovs D. ↓, Mares P. ↑,
- 90+1', Gueye D. 🟨,
- 90+8', Babic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Liepāja
25.3% | Draw
24.7% | RFS
50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RFS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RFS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Liepāja - RFS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.66 ↓
(4.97) |
3.75 ↓
(3.9) |
1.85 ↑
(1.58) |
8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - RFS?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 1 - 20%). RFS will win (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- RFS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, RFS has had a series of home games.
- In this match, RFS is the team to beat.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:33. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against RFS?
Liepāja has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Liepāja?
RFS has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - RFS were as follows:
04.07.2025
RFS
-
Liepāja
2:1
14.05.2025
Liepāja
-
RFS
2:1
29.03.2025
RFS
-
Liepāja
4:1
20.09.2024
RFS
-
Liepāja
2:0
01.07.2024
Liepāja
-
RFS
1:3
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC ✔ | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 81:21 | 60 | 87 |
| 2 | RFS ✔ | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 93:35 | 58 | 81 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja ✔ | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:57 | -7 | 48 |
| 5 | Auda | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 42:46 | -4 | 44 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 36:43 | -7 | 36 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:62 | -25 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobina | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:61 | -31 | 30 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 34 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 29 |
| 10 | Metta | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 34:71 | -37 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Riga FC is Confirmed as champions
RFS is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
FK Liepaja is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
