Liepāja vs RFS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Latvian Virsliga Liepāja - RFS
Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Virsliga - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4
worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.10
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
84% (326/389)86% (399/463)
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.92
Total shots
715
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1428
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2119
Passes
84% (326/389)86% (399/463)
Long passes
51% (25/49)53% (20/38)
Passes in final third
60% (38/63)77% (115/150)
Crosses
27% (3/11)33% (11/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.241.39
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
1921
Tackles
27% (3/11)72% (13/18)
Duels won
5660
Clearances
3512
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.920.64
Goals prevented
-0.08-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Panic S. (Pen),
  • 23', Silva A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Gueye D. , Silva A. (A),
  • 59', 2 - 1, Rakic S. (Own goal),
  • 59', Talla M. , Savalnieks R. ,
  • 74', Diomande I. , Konate F. ,
  • 75', Diaw M. 🟨,
  • 80', Diaw M. , Isajevs V. ,
  • 80', Saveljevs A. , Dodo ,
  • 84', Petkovic D. 🟨,
  • 87', Isajevs V. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Ikaunieks J. , Konate F. (A),
  • 90', Zelenkovs D. , Mares P. ,
  • 90+1', Gueye D. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Babic A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Liepāja
25.3%
Draw
24.7%
RFS
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.5% 23.5% 58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 23.1% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.
  • RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RFS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RFS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Liepāja - RFS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.66
    (4.97)
    3.75
    (3.9)
    1.85
    (1.58)
    8%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Liepāja - RFS?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 1 - 20%). RFS will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • RFS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, RFS has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, RFS is the team to beat.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:33. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - RFS were as follows:
    04.07.2025 RFS - Liepāja 2:1
    14.05.2025 Liepāja - RFS 2:1
    29.03.2025 RFS - Liepāja 4:1
    20.09.2024 RFS - Liepāja 2:0
    01.07.2024 Liepāja - RFS 1:3
    Latest results of Liepāja
    21.09.2025 Grobiņa - Liepāja 0:1
    18.09.2025 Liepāja - Riga 0:4
    14.09.2025 Liepāja - Tukums 2000 4:1
    29.08.2025 Metta LU - Liepāja 1:2
    25.08.2025 Liepāja - Super Nova 0:3
    Latest results of RFS
    25.09.2025 RFS - Riga 0:0
    21.09.2025 RFS - BFC Daugavpils 5:1
    17.09.2025 RFS - Auda Riga 0:2
    13.09.2025 RFS - Jelgava 1:4
    31.08.2025 Auda Riga - RFS 0:1
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC32265180:215983
    2RFS31233579:324772
    3FK Liepaja321661053:48554
    4Auda311351339:40-144
    5BFC Daugavpils311271247:55-843
    6Jelgava328101434:41-734
    7Tukums 200032871735:58-2331
    8Grobina32851930:56-2629
    9Super Nova325121538:51-1327
    10Metta31661930:63-3324

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          Virsliga (Relegation)
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