Result
1:1
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 34
- Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (251/309) | 81% (291/359) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (251/309) | 81% (291/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 57% (39/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (67/94) | 68% (79/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Boonen I. ↓, Boujouh N. ↑,
- 32', Matuta E. 🟨,
- 45+2', Mertens J. ↓, De Vos V. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Stanic A. ↓, Boncina L. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 0, Van Meirvenne C. ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 1, Mabanza V. R. ⚽, Lloci M. (A),
- 61', Pau M. 🟨,
- 65', Brebels S. ↓, Van den Bergh R. ↑,
- 70', Van Elsuwege T. ↓, El Touile S. ↑,
- 70', De Peuter D. ↓, Sy M. ↑,
- 75', Lloci M. 🟨,
- 75', El Touile S. 🟨,
- 80', Mayoka-Tika N. ↓, De Ridder N. ↑,
- 87', Brrou A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Boujouh N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lierse
25.5% | Draw
24% | Lokeren
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lierse's form might have worsened.Lokeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokeren's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lierse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokeren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lierse - Lokeren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↑
(2.67) |
3.86 ↑
(3.45) |
1.86 ↓
(2.37) |
7.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lierse - Lokeren?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lierse will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Lokeren will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Lokeren might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lierse won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Lierse won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lierse won against Lokeren?
Lierse has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokeren won against Lierse?
Lokeren has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lierse - Lokeren were as follows:
12.09.2025
Lokeren
-
Lierse
2:0
24.01.2025
Lokeren
-
Lierse
1:1
08.11.2024
Lierse
-
Lokeren
2:2
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