Lierse vs RFC Liège – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Сhallenger Pro League Lierse - RFC Liège
Result
1:2
19/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 10
  • Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.861.05
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
297
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
85% (394/465)70% (179/256)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.861.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.421.59
Total shots
297
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
160
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
183
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3310
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
85% (394/465)70% (179/256)
Long passes
43% (13/30)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
75% (121/162)53% (46/86)
Crosses
27% (12/44)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.34
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
1315
Tackles
89% (8/9)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4950
Clearances
1743
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.590.42
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, D'Ostilio J. (Pen),
  • 34', Bustin J. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 2, De Sart A. , Wasinski M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Van Meirvenne C. , Demuynck D. ,
  • 55', Mertens J. 🟨,
  • 62', Sy M. , Gboua Y. ,
  • 62', Matuta E. , El Touile S. ,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Perdichizzi P. , Asare D. (A),
  • 64', Lefebvre A. , Gobitaka F. ,
  • 64', Sarmiento D. , Shkurti K. ,
  • 73', Diouf O. , Soelle F. ,
  • 80', De Buyser W. , Masaki H. ,
  • 83', Mouchamps D. , Ngawa P. ,
  • 88', Perdichizzi P. , Vanderhallen S. ,

Chances of winning


Lierse
36.5%
Draw
26.4%
RFC Liège
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 26.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 25.9% 38.3%

Lierse - RFC Liège Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.57
(2.58)
3.49
(3.5)
2.53
(2.47)
7.2%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lierse - RFC Liège?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lierse will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). RFC Liège will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lierse: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lierse (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Lierse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • RFC Liège is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lierse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lierse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lierse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lierse - RFC Liège were as follows:
    23.02.2025 RFC Liège - Lierse 2:1
    06.12.2024 Lierse - RFC Liège 2:1
    Latest results of Lierse
    25.09.2025 Gent U23 - Lierse 0:0
    19.09.2025 Lierse - RWDM Brussels 2:0
    12.09.2025 Lokeren - Lierse 2:0
    Latest results of RFC Liège
    05.10.2025 RFC Liège - Genk U23 5:0
    28.09.2025 Lommel - RFC Liège 0:1
    24.09.2025 RFC Liège - Beveren 1:2
    13.09.2025 Brugge U23 - RFC Liège 0:2