Result
2:1
06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 24
- Referee: Vitse J. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (400/477) | 81% (305/377) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (400/477) | 81% (305/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (33/53) | 60% (41/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (87/109) | 76% (68/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 3.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Bruggeman B. ⚽, Wasinski M. (A),
- 28', Perdichizzi P. 🟨,
- 34', De Peuter D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', De Peuter D. ↓, Mertens J. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Mertens J. ⚽,
- 71', Shkurti K. ↓, De Sart A. ↑,
- 71', Ruiz Atil K. ↓, Lefebvre A. ↑,
- 78', Perdichizzi P. 🟨,
- 80', 2 - 1, Soelle F. ⚽, Ngawa P. (A),
- 82', Mayoka-Tika N. ↓, Willems J. ↑,
- 82', De Schrijver P. ↓, Boncina L. ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
Chances of winning
RFC Liège
45.9% | Draw
26.2% | Lierse
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
RFC Liège - Lierse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.07) |
3.54 ↑
(3.43) |
3.34 ↑
(3.19) |
7.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RFC Liège - Lierse?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - RFC Liège (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
RFC Liège will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RFC Liège will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- RFC Liège is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lierse is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, RFC Liège is considered a favorite.
- We predict that RFC Liège will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, RFC Liège won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against Lierse?
RFC Liège has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lierse won against RFC Liège?
Lierse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFC Liège - Lierse were as follows:
19.10.2025
Lierse
-
RFC Liège
1:2
23.02.2025
RFC Liège
-
Lierse
2:1
06.12.2024
Lierse
-
RFC Liège
2:1
Latest results of RFC Liège
