Lierse vs ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Сhallenger Pro League Lierse - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 8
  • Referee: De Keyzer T. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.05
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
152
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
81% (383/475)69% (206/299)
Yellow Cards
37
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.03
Total shots
152
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
294
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
81% (383/475)69% (206/299)
Long passes
55% (34/62)32% (23/73)
Passes in final third
59% (77/130)54% (53/98)
Crosses
30% (10/33)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.30
Throw-ins
3227
Fouls
1212
Tackles
54% (7/13)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6440
Clearances
1443
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.031.17
Goals prevented
0.031.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Sarkic O. 🟨,
  • 33', Diallo T. 🟨,
  • 37', Jahic H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Vanderhallen S. , Demuynck D. ,
  • 50', Adinany B. 🟨,
  • 58', Cachbach M. , Cisse M. ,
  • 61', Asare D. 🟨,
  • 67', De Buyser W. , Gboua Y. ,
  • 71', Lake T. , Medfai M. ,
  • 72', Florica L. , Ramalho J. ,
  • 75', Kima Beyissa K. 🟨,
  • 85', Sarkic O. , Eyongo R. ,
  • 85', Diallo T. , Berberi R. ,
  • 85', El Touile S. , Masaki H. ,
  • 86', Ramalho J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Thea A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Masaki H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lierse
55.1%
Draw
25.9%
ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 24.2% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 20.2% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lierse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lierse that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lierse - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.79)
    3.65
    (3.82)
    5.18
    (3.83)
    2.7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Lierse - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne?
  • Users Predictions: Lierse will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lierse has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • ROCCM is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lierse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lierse is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
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