Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 8
- Referee: De Keyzer T. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (383/475) | 69% (206/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (383/475) | 69% (206/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 32% (23/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (77/130) | 54% (53/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (10/33) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Sarkic O. 🟨,
- 33', Diallo T. 🟨,
- 37', Jahic H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Vanderhallen S. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
- 50', Adinany B. 🟨,
- 58', Cachbach M. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
- 61', Asare D. 🟨,
- 67', De Buyser W. ↓, Gboua Y. ↑,
- 71', Lake T. ↓, Medfai M. ↑,
- 72', Florica L. ↓, Ramalho J. ↑,
- 75', Kima Beyissa K. 🟨,
- 85', Sarkic O. ↓, Eyongo R. ↑,
- 85', Diallo T. ↓, Berberi R. ↑,
- 85', El Touile S. ↓, Masaki H. ↑,
- 86', Ramalho J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Thea A. 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+2', Masaki H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lierse 55.1% | Draw 25.9% | ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne 19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lierse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lierse that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lierse - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↓ (1.79) |
3.65 ↓ (3.82) |
5.18 ↑ (3.83) |
2.7% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lierse - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne?
Users Predictions:
Lierse will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Lierse has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- ROCCM is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Lierse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lierse is a strong favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lierse won against ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne?
Lierse has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne won against Lierse?
ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lierse - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne were as follows:
Latest results of ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne