Result
1:3
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Pastore M. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Tentoni T. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 2, Pastore M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varese
31.1% | Draw
29.9% | Ligorna
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varese's performance.Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ligorna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ligorna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Varese - Ligorna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↓
(3.85) |
3.03 ↓
(3.35) |
2.32 ↑
(1.8) |
10.7%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 1.
- Varese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ligorna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ligorna could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Ligorna?
Varese has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ligorna won against Varese?
Ligorna has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Ligorna were as follows:
12.10.2025
Ligorna
-
Varese
4:0
15.01.2025
Varese
-
Ligorna
1:0
18.09.2024
Ligorna
-
Varese
1:1
17.03.2024
Varese
-
Ligorna
0:1
05.11.2023
Ligorna
-
Varese
1:1
Latest results of Ligorna
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ligorna | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Vado | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 35 | 62 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 49 |
| 4 | Sestri Levante | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 22 | 48 |
| 5 | Chisola | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 33:25 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Sanremese | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Imperia | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | Valenzana | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 25:39 | -14 | 35 |
| 11 | Cairese | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | Derthona FbC | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 30:40 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | Gozzano | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 29 |
| 15 | Celle Varazze | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 28 |
| 16 | Asti | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 23:32 | -9 | 26 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 21:52 | -31 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation
