Result
1:3
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Pastore M. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Tentoni T. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 2, Pastore M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varese
31.1% | Draw
29.9% | Ligorna
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varese's performance.Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ligorna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ligorna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Varese - Ligorna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↓
(3.85) |
3.03 ↓
(3.35) |
2.32 ↑
(1.8) |
10.7%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 1.
- Varese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ligorna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ligorna could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Ligorna?
Varese has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ligorna won against Varese?
Ligorna has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Ligorna were as follows:
12.10.2025
Ligorna
-
Varese
4:0
15.01.2025
Varese
-
Ligorna
1:0
18.09.2024
Ligorna
-
Varese
1:1
17.03.2024
Varese
-
Ligorna
0:1
05.11.2023
Ligorna
-
Varese
1:1
Latest results of Ligorna
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ligorna | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 59 |
| 2 | Vado | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 58 |
| 3 | Sestri Levante | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 45:22 | 23 | 47 |
| 4 | Chisola | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 32:22 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | AS Biellese | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Sanremese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | Imperia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Valenzana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Derthona FbC | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:37 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:32 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Cairese | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Asti | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 25 |
| 15 | Celle Varazze | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Lavagnese | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:34 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Club Milano | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23:42 | -19 | 23 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 19:46 | -27 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation
