Result
1:3
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
- 29', 1 - 1, Ferretti A. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Salducco V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 80', 1 - 3, Ferretti A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varese
37.4% | Draw
27.8% | Sestri Levante
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Sestri Levante aligns with the current prediction.
Varese - Sestri Levante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.41) |
3.26 ↓
(3.28) |
2.6 ↑
(2.59) |
10.5%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
- Varese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sestri Levante is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Sestri Levante?
Varese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sestri Levante won against Varese?
Sestri Levante has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Sestri Levante were as follows:
Latest results of Sestri Levante
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vado ✔ | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 66:22 | 44 | 75 |
| 2 | Ligorna ✔ | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 55:25 | 30 | 69 |
| 3 | AS Biellese ✔ | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 46:26 | 20 | 57 |
| 4 | Sestri Levante | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 54:32 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | Varese FC | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40:41 | -1 | 53 |
| 6 | Chisola | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 41:34 | 7 | 52 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 35:30 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 45 |
| 9 | Saluzzo | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Celle Varazze | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 | Imperia | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Cairese | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 40 |
| 13 | Club Milano | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 35:45 | -10 | 39 |
| 15 | Gozzano ✔ | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Asti ✔ | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese ✔ | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin ✔ | 33 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 25:73 | -48 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vado is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Ligorna is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs )
AS Biellese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs )
Gozzano is Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out )
Asti is Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out )
Lavagnese is Relegated to
NovaRomentin is Relegated to
