Auxerre vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
3:4
14/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 16
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.180.52
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
86% (301/351)84% (378/450)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
3.180.52
xG on target (xGOT)
3.531.25
Total shots
188
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
3419
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1021
Passes
86% (301/351)84% (378/450)
Long passes
60% (26/43)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
81% (121/149)71% (89/125)
Crosses
23% (7/31)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.65
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
2110
Tackles
78% (14/18)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4449
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.253.53
Goals prevented
-2.751.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Haraldsson H. ⚽,
  • 17', Casimir J. 🟨,
  • 38', Ngoy N. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 3)
  • 46', Matondo R. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
  • 46', Sahraoui O. ↓, Mbemba Ch. ↑,
  • 49', Akpa C. 🟨,
  • 50', Mandi A. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Sinayoko L. ⚽, Danois K. (A),
  • 60', Akpa C. 🟨,
  • 63', Casimir J. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Mbemba Ch. (Own goal),
  • 74', Meunier T. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
  • 74', Haraldsson H. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
  • 75', Giroud O. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Bentaleb N. ⚽,
  • 80', 2 - 3, Diaoune S. ⚽,
  • 81', Oppegard F. ↓, Mensah G. ↑,
  • 82', Correia F. 🟨,
  • 83', 3 - 3, Sinayoko L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 84', Mbappe E. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
  • 86', 3 - 4, Andre B. ⚽, Perraud R. (A),
  • 88', Perraud R. 🟥,
  • 88', El Azzouzi O. 🟥,
  • 90', Danois K. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
  • 90+3', Coulibaly L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Auxerre
23.7%		Draw
29%		Lille
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 25.2% 53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 24.8% 53.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Auxerre - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.02 ↓
    (4.36)    		 3.29 ↓
    (3.76)    		 2.01 ↑
    (1.78)    		 4.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Auxerre - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 2 - 5.6%). Lille will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 57.6% – 86.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Auxerre (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lille (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 0.
    • Auxerre has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lille is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Owusu E. (Injury) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Bouaddi A. (Red Card) Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Igamane H. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Auxerre: Coulibaly L. (Ankle Injury) Diomande S. (Inactive) Mensah G. (Inactive) Osman I. (Inactive) Senaya M. (Injury) Sierralta F. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Fernandez-Pardo M. (Inactive) Verdonk C. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Lille were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Lille - Auxerre 3:1
    10.01.2025 Auxerre - Lille 0:0
    22.04.2023 Auxerre - Lille 1:1
    Latest results of Auxerre
    07.12.2025 Auxerre - Metz 3:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Paris FC - Auxerre 1:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 0:0 ✺
    09.11.2025 Angers - Auxerre 2:0 ✺
    01.11.2025 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lille
    11.12.2025 Young Boys - Lille 1:0 ✺
    05.12.2025 Lille - Olympique Marseille 1:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Le Havre - Lille 0:1 ✺
    27.11.2025 Lille - Dinamo Zagreb 4:0 ✺
    23.11.2025 Lille - Paris FC 4:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG26193458:223660
    2Lens27192654:243059
    3Marseille27154854:351949
    4Lyon27145841:291247
    5Lille27145842:34847
    6Monaco27144947:38946
    7Rennes27128743:37644
    8Strasbourg27117943:331040
    9Toulouse271071038:32637
    10Lorient27910837:41-437
    11Brest271061134:39-536
    12Angers27951324:37-1332
    13Paris FC277101032:43-1131
    14Le Havre27691222:35-1327
    15Nice27761432:52-2027
    16Auxerre27571522:36-1422
    17Nantes26451724:45-2117
    18Metz27351925:60-3514

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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