Lille vs Auxerre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Lille - Auxerre
Result
3:1
20/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 30
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceSKAI
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.25
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
88% (479/546)83% (330/396)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.25
xG on target (xGOT)
3.660.04
Total shots
157
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2318
Through passes
50% (1/2)100% (2/2)
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
138
Passes
88% (479/546)83% (330/396)
Long passes
56% (25/45)40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
68% (84/123)74% (59/80)
Crosses
14% (2/14)5% (1/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.62
Fouls
813
Tackles
57% (17/30)83% (10/12)
Duels won
5837
Clearances Total
2920
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.043.66
Goals prevented
0.040.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Meunier T. ⚽, David J. (A),
  • 22', Diakite B. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 0, David J. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Jubal Junior 🟨,
  • 62', Massengo H. 🟨,
  • 66', Akpa C. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
  • 67', Bair T. ↓, Aye F. ↑,
  • 71', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
  • 80', Mensah G. ↓, Joly P. ↑,
  • 80', Diousse A. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
  • 80', Akpom Ch. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
  • 81', Gomes A. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
  • 87', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
  • 87', Haraldsson H. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Alexsandro (Own goal),
  • 90+8', 3 - 1, David J. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Lille
68.6%		Draw
19.7%		Auxerre
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 23% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 24% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lille's performance.
  • Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lille that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
    •

    Lille - Auxerre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.38 ↓
    (1.56)    		 4.82 ↑
    (4.14)    		 8.02 ↑
    (5.85)    		 5.6%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Lille - Auxerre?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 23 - 82.1%). Auxerre will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 67.9% – 96.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 2.
    • Recent matches Lille is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Auxerre is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lille is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Knee Injury) Danois K. (Injury) Oppegard F. (Injury) Osho G. (Injury) Owusu E. (Inactive) Traore H. J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Gomes A. (Back Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Lille won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Auxerre were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Auxerre - Lille 0:0
    22.04.2023 Auxerre - Lille 1:1
    Latest results of Lille
    12.04.2025 Toulouse - Lille 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Lyon - Lille 2:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Nantes - Lille 1:0 ✺
    12.03.2025 Lille - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Auxerre
    13.04.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 1:3 ✺
    06.04.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 0:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Auxerre - Montpellier 1:0 ✺
    14.03.2025 Nice - Auxerre 1:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Reims - Auxerre 0:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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