Result
3:1
20/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 30
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | SKAI |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (479/546) | 83% (330/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.66 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (479/546) | 83% (330/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (25/45) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (84/123) | 74% (59/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.62 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (17/30) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 37 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 3.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Meunier T. ⚽, David J. (A),
- 22', Diakite B. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, David J. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Jubal Junior 🟨,
- 62', Massengo H. 🟨,
- 66', Akpa C. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
- 67', Bair T. ↓, Aye F. ↑,
- 71', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 80', Mensah G. ↓, Joly P. ↑,
- 80', Diousse A. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
- 80', Akpom Ch. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 81', Gomes A. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
- 87', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
- 87', Haraldsson H. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Alexsandro (Own goal),
- 90+8', 3 - 1, David J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lille
68.6% | Draw
19.7% | Auxerre
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lille's performance.Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lille that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Lille - Auxerre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.56) |
4.82 ↑
(4.14) |
8.02 ↑
(5.85) |
5.6%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Lille - Auxerre?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 23 - 82.1%). Auxerre will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 67.9% – 96.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 2.
- Recent matches Lille is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Auxerre is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Lille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lille is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly L.
(Knee Injury)
Danois K.
(Injury)
Oppegard F.
(Injury)
Osho G.
(Injury)
Owusu E.
(Inactive)
Traore H. J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Gomes A.
(Back Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Lille won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.7:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Auxerre?
Lille has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Lille?
Auxerre has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Auxerre were as follows:
10.01.2025
Auxerre
-
Lille
0:0
22.04.2023
Auxerre
-
Lille
1:1
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
