Le Havre vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
0:1
30/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 14
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceLigue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 8
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.58
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
78% (264/338)84% (405/483)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.951.19
Total shots
148
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
78% (264/338)84% (405/483)
Long passes
54% (30/56)55% (32/58)
Passes in final third
67% (87/129)74% (92/125)
Crosses
30% (9/30)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.98
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1513
Tackles
56% (9/16)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5241
Clearances
1828
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
1.190.95
Goals prevented
0.190.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Mandi A. ↓, Mbemba Ch. ↑,
  • 45+1', Ngoy N. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Meunier T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Bouaddi A. 🟥,
  • 57', Giroud O. ↓, Igamane H. ↑,
  • 57', Correia F. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
  • 64', Doucoure F. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
  • 64', Ebonog S. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
  • 73', Sahraoui O. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
  • 73', Mukau N. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
  • 80', Ndiaye R. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
  • 80', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
  • 82', Samatta A. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 1, Igamane H. ⚽, Mbappe E. (A),
  • 90+1', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
21.2%		Draw
25.7%		Lille
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.9% 26.9% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3% 26.5% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
    •

    Le Havre - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.46 ↑
    (3.99)    		 3.73 ↑
    (3.54)    		 1.81 ↓
    (1.93)    		 4.4%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Le Havre - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Lille will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 57.5% – 89.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lille (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Le Havre (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Lille (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Delaine T. (Toe Injury) Toure A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury) Verdonk C. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Broholm M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.8:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Lille were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Lille - Le Havre 1:2
    28.09.2024 Le Havre - Lille 0:3
    17.02.2024 Lille - Le Havre 3:0
    01.10.2023 Le Havre - Lille 0:2
    26.07.2023 Lille - Le Havre 3:2
    Latest results of Le Havre
    22.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 3:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 1:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Toulouse - Le Havre 0:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Le Havre - Brest 1:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Auxerre - Le Havre 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lille
    27.11.2025 Lille - Dinamo Zagreb 4:0 ✺
    23.11.2025 Lille - Paris FC 4:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Strasbourg - Lille 2:0 ✺
    06.11.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille 1:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Lille - Angers 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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