Result
1:2
08/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 21
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 4 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5, Moja TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 World | Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (487/547) | 75% (197/263) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 80% (176/219) | 48% (27/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (11/40) | 33% (7/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 33% (5/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 12 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Hassan A. ⚽, Soumare I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sahraoui O. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 46', Gomes A. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 46', Cabella R. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 2, Soumare I. ⚽,
- 61', Mbappe E. 🟨,
- 66', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Bakker M. ↑,
- 67', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
- 69', Bakker M. 🟨,
- 76', Diawara M. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
- 76', Hassan A. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
- 85', Mwanga J. ↓, Bodmer M. ↑,
- 85', Soumare I. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
- 90+5', Casimir J. ↓, Housni I. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 2, Akpom Ch. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lille
76.2% | Draw
15.7% | Le Havre
8.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lille's performance.Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Lille - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.36) |
6.13 ↑
(4.68) |
11.92 ↑
(8.25) |
4.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Lille - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 40 - 85.1%). Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 74.9% – 95.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Recent matches Lille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Le Havre is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Lille is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N.
(Heart Problems)
Fernandez-Pardo M.
(Ankle Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Le Havre: Ballo-Toure F.
(Ankle Injury)
Logbo A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mosengo D. N.
(Knee Injury)
Sangante A.
(Red Card)
Toure A.
(Ribs Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Ismaily
(Calf Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Kitala Y.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:3 (average 2.6:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Le Havre?
Lille has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Lille?
Le Havre has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Le Havre were as follows:
28.09.2024
Le Havre
-
Lille
0:3
17.02.2024
Lille
-
Le Havre
3:0
01.10.2023
Le Havre
-
Lille
0:2
26.07.2023
Lille
-
Le Havre
3:2
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
