Result
0:1
30/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 14
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Italy | Ligue 1+ |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV7 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 8 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (264/338) | 84% (405/483) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (264/338) | 84% (405/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 55% (32/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (87/129) | 74% (92/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Mandi A. ↓, Mbemba Ch. ↑,
- 45+1', Ngoy N. 🟨,
- 45+3', Meunier T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Bouaddi A. 🟥,
- 57', Giroud O. ↓, Igamane H. ↑,
- 57', Correia F. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 64', Doucoure F. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
- 64', Ebonog S. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
- 73', Sahraoui O. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
- 73', Mukau N. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
- 80', Ndiaye R. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
- 80', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
- 82', Samatta A. 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 1, Igamane H. ⚽, Mbappe E. (A),
- 90+1', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
- 90+1', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Le Havre 21.2% | Draw 25.7% | Lille 53.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Le Havre - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.46 ↑ (3.99) |
3.73 ↑ (3.54) |
1.81 ↓ (1.93) |
4.4% (5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Lille?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Lille will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 57.5% – 89.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 20%). Lille (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Le Havre (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lille (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Le Havre: Delaine T.
(Toe Injury)
Toure A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro
(Thigh Injury)
Caillard M.
(Elbow Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
Verdonk C.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Lille: Broholm M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.8:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Lille?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Le Havre?
Lille has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Lille were as follows:
08.02.2025
Lille
-
Le Havre
1:2
28.09.2024
Le Havre
-
Lille
0:3
17.02.2024
Lille
-
Le Havre
3:0
01.10.2023
Le Havre
-
Lille
0:2
26.07.2023
Lille
-
Le Havre
3:2
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | PSG | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 42 |
| 3 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | Lyon | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Lille | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 30:25 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Monaco | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Brest | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 15 | Nice | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:35 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Nantes | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14:28 | -14 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19:40 | -21 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2