Result
6:1
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 9
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (478/551) | 79% (251/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.71 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (478/551) | 79% (251/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (17/30) | 45% (30/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (140/180) | 71% (54/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 30% (8/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 4.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | -1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', Mandi A. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Igamane H. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
- 26', Le Mignan S. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Correia F. ⚽,
- 36', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', Bouaddi A. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 0, Correia F. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
- 61', Abuashvili G. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 61', Kouao K. ↓, Melieres C. ↑,
- 61', Toure A. ↓, Hein G. ↑,
- 62', Melieres C. 🟨,
- 64', 4 - 0, Perraud R. ⚽, Haraldsson H. (A),
- 68', Mandi A. ↓, Ngoy N. ↑,
- 68', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
- 68', Igamane H. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 77', Sy P. ↓, Fischer J. ↑,
- 82', 5 - 0, Andre B. ⚽, Correia F. (A),
- 83', Correia F. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
- 89', Deminguet J. 🟨,
- 90', Andre B. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
- 90', Deminguet J. ↓, Guerti I. ↑,
- 90', Sabaly C. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
- 90+3', 6 - 0, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Diaoune S. (A),
- 90+5', 6 - 1, Sane I. ⚽, Diallo H. (A),
- 90+10', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lille
74.7% | Draw
15.8% | Metz
9.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lille - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.43) |
6.04 ↑
(4.65) |
10.47 ↑
(7.14) |
3.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lille - Metz?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 37 - 92.5%). Metz will win (votes: 1 - 2.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 84.3% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
- In recent matches, Lille has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Metz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Metz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lille is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Caillard M.
(Inactive)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Metz: Ballo-Toure F.
(Muscle Injury)
Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Mbaye M.
(Foot Injury)
Mboula U.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sane S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Lille: Alexsandro
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Metz: Traore B.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 0.9:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Metz?
Lille has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Lille?
Metz has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Metz were as follows:
28.04.2024
Metz
-
Lille
1:2
03.12.2023
Lille
-
Metz
2:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 28:13 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | PSG | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35:14 | 21 | 36 |
| 3 | Marseille | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 36:15 | 21 | 32 |
| 4 | Lille | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Lyon | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 27 |
| 6 | Rennes | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 27:24 | 3 | 27 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 23 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | Monaco | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 23 |
| 10 | Angers | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 11 | Brest | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 | Lorient | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:28 | -9 | 18 |
| 13 | Nice | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 19:29 | -10 | 17 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 15 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Nantes | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 11 |
| 18 | Metz | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17:37 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
