Lille vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
6:1
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 9
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.841.29
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
124
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
87% (478/551)79% (251/319)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.841.29
xG on target (xGOT)
4.711.86
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
124
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
189
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
4726
Accurate through passes
50
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
87% (478/551)79% (251/319)
Long passes
57% (17/30)45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
78% (140/180)71% (54/76)
Crosses
35% (6/17)30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
2.241.45
Throw-ins
1415
Fouls
1812
Tackles
60% (12/20)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5543
Clearances
1623
Interceptions
13
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.864.71
Goals prevented
0.86-1.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', Mandi A. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Igamane H. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
  • 26', Le Mignan S. 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Correia F. ⚽,
  • 36', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Bouaddi A. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
  • 53', 3 - 0, Correia F. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
  • 61', Abuashvili G. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
  • 61', Kouao K. ↓, Melieres C. ↑,
  • 61', Toure A. ↓, Hein G. ↑,
  • 62', Melieres C. 🟨,
  • 64', 4 - 0, Perraud R. ⚽, Haraldsson H. (A),
  • 68', Mandi A. ↓, Ngoy N. ↑,
  • 68', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
  • 68', Igamane H. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
  • 77', Sy P. ↓, Fischer J. ↑,
  • 82', 5 - 0, Andre B. ⚽, Correia F. (A),
  • 83', Correia F. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
  • 89', Deminguet J. 🟨,
  • 90', Andre B. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
  • 90', Deminguet J. ↓, Guerti I. ↑,
  • 90', Sabaly C. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
  • 90+3', 6 - 0, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Diaoune S. (A),
  • 90+5', 6 - 1, Sane I. ⚽, Diallo H. (A),
  • 90+10', Haraldsson H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lille
74.7%		Draw
15.8%		Metz
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.4% 20.3% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 19.6% 12.9%

Lille - Metz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.3 ↓
(1.43)		 6.04 ↑
(4.65)		 10.47 ↑
(7.14)		 3.2%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lille - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 37 - 92.5%). Metz will win (votes: 1 - 2.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 84.3% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Lille (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • EH -2 - Lille (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
    • In recent matches, Lille has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Metz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Metz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lille is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Caillard M. (Inactive) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Metz: Ballo-Toure F. (Muscle Injury) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Sane S. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Metz: Traore B. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 0.9:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Metz were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Metz - Lille 1:2
    03.12.2023 Lille - Metz 2:0
    Latest results of Lille
    23.10.2025 Lille - PAOK 3:4 ✺
    19.10.2025 Nantes - Lille 0:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Lille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Roma - Lille 0:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Lille - Lyon 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Metz
    19.10.2025 Toulouse - Metz 4:0 ✺
    04.10.2025 Metz - Olympique Marseille 0:3 ✺
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Metz - Angers 1:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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