Result
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Lille
72.5% | Draw
17.5% | Metz
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lille's performance.Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Lille - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.43) |
5.5 ↑
(4.65) |
9.6 ↑
(7.14) |
3.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lille - Metz?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Metz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
- Lille is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Metz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Lille is the clear favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 0.9:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Metz?
Lille has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Lille?
Metz has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Metz were as follows:
28.04.2024
Metz
-
Lille
1:2
03.12.2023
Lille
-
Metz
2:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
