Metz vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
0:0
06/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 21
  • Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.501.56
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
21
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
16
Passes
80% (255/318)83% (369/443)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.501.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.320.05
Total shots
616
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
39
Blocked shots
16
Shots inside the box
212
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
839
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free kicks
912
Passes
80% (255/318)83% (369/443)
Long passes
43% (26/60)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
65% (42/65)67% (77/115)
Crosses
21% (3/14)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.351.82
Throw ins
2625
Fouls
129
Tackles
78% (14/18)93% (14/15)
Duels won
5148
Clearances
3118
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.050.32
Goals prevented
0.05-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Fernandez-Pardo M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Edjouma N. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
  • 62', Michal L. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
  • 71', Deminguet J. ↓, Hein G. ↑,
  • 71', Giroud O. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
  • 71', Haraldsson H. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
  • 71', Stambouli B. ↓, Munongo B. ↑,
  • 73', Kouao K. 🟨,
  • 82', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
  • 82', Santos T. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
  • 90', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Kvilitaia G. ↑,

Chances of winning


Metz
15.8%		Draw
22.3%		Lille
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.6% 23.8% 54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3% 23.5% 55.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metz's form might have worsened.
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lille's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Metz - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 6.02 ↑
    (4.37)    		 4.28 ↑
    (3.97)    		 1.55 ↓
    (1.73)    		 4.6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Metz - Lille?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Lille (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Lille (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Lille will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.69% – 96.77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 22 - 88%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 0.
    • Metz is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lille has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Metz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lille is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Metz: Gbamin J. (Red Card) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Sarr B. (Knee Injury) Sy P. (Concussion)
    • There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Injury) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Mbappe E. (Thigh Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:28. (average 0.8:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Lille were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Lille - Metz 6:1
    28.04.2024 Metz - Lille 1:2
    03.12.2023 Lille - Metz 2:0
    Latest results of Metz
    01.02.2026 Angers - Metz 1:0 ✺
    25.01.2026 Metz - Lyon 2:5 ✺
    18.01.2026 Strasbourg - Metz 2:1 ✺
    11.01.2026 Metz - Montpellier 0:4 ✺
    04.01.2026 Lorient - Metz 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lille
    01.02.2026 Lyon - Lille 1:0 ✺
    29.01.2026 Lille - Freiburg 1:0 ✺
    25.01.2026 Lille - Strasbourg 1:4 ✺
    22.01.2026 Celta de Vigo - Lille 2:1 ✺
    16.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Lille 3:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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