Result
10/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Metz
30.6% | Draw
26.4% | Lorient
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Metz - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.86) |
3.6 ↑
(3.49) |
2.23 ↓
(2.34) |
4.7%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 1.
- Metz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Lorient has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lorient is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Metz won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Lorient?
Metz has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Metz?
Lorient has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Lorient were as follows:
04.01.2026
Lorient
-
Metz
1:1
11.01.2025
Lorient
-
Metz
0:0
21.09.2024
Metz
-
Lorient
1:1
04.02.2024
Metz
-
Lorient
1:2
26.11.2023
Lorient
-
Metz
2:3
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
