Nice vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
2:0
29/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.770.83
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
821
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
213
Passes
77% (224/290)87% (515/591)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.770.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.180.07
Total shots
821
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
09
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
412
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
213
Touches in opposition box
842
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
77% (224/290)87% (515/591)
Long passes
45% (20/44)53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
60% (30/50)78% (178/229)
Crosses
0% (0/6)19% (8/42)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.23
Throw-ins
1115
Fouls
1110
Tackles
42% (5/12)68% (13/19)
Duels won
3542
Clearances
436
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.072.18
Goals prevented
0.070.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Diop S. (Pen),
  • 35', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
  • 35', Mendy A. 🟨,
  • 40', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 68', Diop S. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
  • 68', Boga J. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
  • 69', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
  • 69', Bouaddi A. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
  • 69', Correia F. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
  • 70', Igamane H. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
  • 75', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 78', Gouveia T. 🟨,
  • 81', Andre B. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
  • 82', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
  • 85', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
  • 85', Haraldsson H. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
  • 87', 2 - 0, Jansson I. ⚽, Sanson M. (A),

Chances of winning


Nice
31.5%		Draw
27.1%		Lille
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 27.3% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 27.2% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nice's form might have worsened.
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lille's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Nice - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3 ↑
    (2.48)    		 3.6 ↑
    (3.48)    		 2.44 ↓
    (2.77)    		 2.3%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nice - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Lille will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 27.9% – 64.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 1 - 10%). Lille (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Nice (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 25%). Lille (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.
    • In recent matches, Nice has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lille is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Nice has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Moffi T. (Calf Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Mbappe E. (Inactive) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Cho M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Caillard M. (Inactive) Giroud O. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Lille were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Lille - Nice 2:1
    10.11.2024 Nice - Lille 2:2
    19.05.2024 Lille - Nice 2:2
    11.08.2023 Nice - Lille 1:1
    29.01.2023 Nice - Lille 1:0
    Latest results of Nice
    26.10.2025 Rennes - Nice 1:2 ✺
    23.10.2025 Celta de Vigo - Nice 2:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Nice - Lyon 3:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:2 ✺
    02.10.2025 Fenerbahçe - Nice 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lille
    26.10.2025 Lille - Metz 6:1 ✺
    23.10.2025 Lille - PAOK 3:4 ✺
    19.10.2025 Nantes - Lille 0:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Lille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Roma - Lille 0:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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