Result
2:1
17/01/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 18
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1, VOOsport World 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | SKAI |
India | GXR World |
Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Mexico | Caliente TV App |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | beIN Sports |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.02 | 2.87 |
Ball Possession |
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55% | 45% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on Goal |
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4 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
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5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 13 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Fouls |
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13 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
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22 | 21 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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24 | 22 |
Passes |
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86% (446/517) | 80% (330/411) |
Passes in the final third |
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78% (118/152) | 66% (62/94) |
Crosses |
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56% (9/16) | 19% (4/21) |
Tackles |
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45% (10/22) | 87% (13/15) |
Clearances Total |
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30 | 23 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Rosario P. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
- 29', 0 - 1, Diop S. ⚽,
- 34', Andre B. 🟨,
- 42', Clauss J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Cabella R. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Haraldsson H. ⚽, David J. (A),
- 63', 2 - 1, Diakite B. ⚽,
- 74', Gomes A. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 77', Abdi A. ↓, Bard M. ↑,
- 77', Laborde G. ↓, Moukoko Y. ↑,
- 77', Diop S. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
- 78', Cho M. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
- 80', Bakker M. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
- 84', Boudaoui H. 🟨,
- 88', Ndombele T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Haraldsson H. ↓, Mandi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille 44.1% | Draw 28.4% | Nice 27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nice's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lille - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↑ (1.77) |
3.35 ↓ (3.9) |
3.49 ↓ (4.37) |
4.8% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Lille - Nice?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 23 - 46.9%). Nice will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 40.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 32.9% – 60.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 0.
- Lille is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nice is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
- Lille will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N.
(Heart Problems)
Fernandez-Pardo M.
(Ankle Injury)
Mbappe E.
(Muscle Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Nice: Boga J.
(Muscle Injury)
Bombito M.
(Groin Injury)
Moffi T.
(Knee Injury)
Orakpo V.
(Groin Injury)
Sanson M.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lille won 4 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:26 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Nice?
Lille has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Lille?
Nice has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Nice were as follows:
10.11.2024
Nice
-
Lille
2:2
19.05.2024
Lille
-
Nice
2:2
11.08.2023
Nice
-
Lille
1:1
29.01.2023
Nice
-
Lille
1:0
31.08.2022
Lille
-
Nice
1:2
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2