Nice vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.770.83
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
821
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
213
Passes
77% (224/290)87% (515/591)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.770.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.180.07
Total shots
821
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
09
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
412
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
213
Touches in opposition box
842
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
77% (224/290)87% (515/591)
Long passes
45% (20/44)53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
60% (30/50)78% (178/229)
Crosses
0% (0/6)19% (8/42)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.23
Throw-ins
1115
Fouls
1110
Tackles
42% (5/12)68% (13/19)
Duels won
3542
Clearances
436
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.072.18
Goals prevented
0.070.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Diop S. (Pen),
  • 35', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
  • 35', Mendy A. 🟨,
  • 40', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 68', Diop S. , Boudaoui H. ,
  • 68', Boga J. , Louchet T. ,
  • 69', Abdul Samed S. , Jansson I. ,
  • 69', Bouaddi A. , Bentaleb N. ,
  • 69', Correia F. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 70', Igamane H. , Broholm M. ,
  • 75', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 78', Gouveia T. 🟨,
  • 81', Andre B. , Giroud O. ,
  • 82', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
  • 85', Vanhoutte C. , Sanson M. ,
  • 85', Haraldsson H. , Mukau N. ,
  • 87', 2 - 0, Jansson I. , Sanson M. (A),

Chances of winning


Nice
31.5%
Draw
27.1%
Lille
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 27.3% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 27.2% 34.4%

Nice - Lille Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3
(2.48)
3.6
(3.48)
2.44
(2.77)
2.3%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nice - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Lille will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 27.9%64.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lille (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.
    • In recent matches, Nice has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lille is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Nice has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Moffi T. (Calf Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Mbappe E. (Inactive) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Cho M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Caillard M. (Inactive) Giroud O. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Lille were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Lille - Nice 2:1
    10.11.2024 Nice - Lille 2:2
    19.05.2024 Lille - Nice 2:2
    11.08.2023 Nice - Lille 1:1
    29.01.2023 Nice - Lille 1:0
    Latest results of Nice
    26.10.2025 Rennes - Nice 1:2
    23.10.2025 Celta de Vigo - Nice 2:1
    18.10.2025 Nice - Lyon 3:2
    05.10.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:2
    02.10.2025 Fenerbahçe - Nice 2:1
    Latest results of Lille
    26.10.2025 Lille - Metz 6:1
    23.10.2025 Lille - PAOK 3:4
    19.10.2025 Nantes - Lille 0:2
    02.10.2025 Roma - Lille 0:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1573521:16524
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Toulouse1555521:19220
    10Brest1554620:24-419
    11Angers1554613:17-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Lorient1545619:28-917
    14Paris FC1544721:26-516
    15Le Havre1536613:21-815
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1525813:24-1111
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2