Result
2:1
17/01/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 18
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, VOOsport World 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | SKAI |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (446/517) | 80% (330/411) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 78% (118/152) | 66% (62/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 19% (4/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 87% (13/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Rosario P. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
- 29', 0 - 1, Diop S. ⚽,
- 34', Andre B. 🟨,
- 42', Clauss J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Cabella R. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Haraldsson H. ⚽, David J. (A),
- 63', 2 - 1, Diakite B. ⚽,
- 74', Gomes A. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 77', Abdi A. ↓, Bard M. ↑,
- 77', Laborde G. ↓, Moukoko Y. ↑,
- 77', Diop S. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
- 78', Cho M. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
- 80', Bakker M. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
- 84', Boudaoui H. 🟨,
- 88', Ndombele T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Haraldsson H. ↓, Mandi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille
44.1% | Draw
28.4% | Nice
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nice's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lille - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.77) |
3.35 ↓
(3.9) |
3.49 ↓
(4.37) |
4.8%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Lille - Nice?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 23 - 46.9%). Nice will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 40.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 32.9% – 60.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 0.
- Lille is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nice is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
- Lille will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N.
(Heart Problems)
Fernandez-Pardo M.
(Ankle Injury)
Mbappe E.
(Muscle Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Nice: Boga J.
(Muscle Injury)
Bombito M.
(Groin Injury)
Moffi T.
(Knee Injury)
Orakpo V.
(Groin Injury)
Sanson M.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lille won 4 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:26 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Nice?
Lille has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Lille?
Nice has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Nice were as follows:
10.11.2024
Nice
-
Lille
2:2
19.05.2024
Lille
-
Nice
2:2
11.08.2023
Nice
-
Lille
1:1
29.01.2023
Nice
-
Lille
1:0
31.08.2022
Lille
-
Nice
1:2
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
