Lille vs PAOK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Football UEFA Europa League Lille - PAOK
Result
3:4
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
belgiumBelgiumRTBF Tipik
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceANT 1+, Cosmote Sport 4K, COSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mauritiusMauritiusMBC 11
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 16, Blue Sport 16, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.592.35
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
117
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
88% (486/553)75% (233/310)
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.592.35
xG on target (xGOT)
3.433.89
Total shots
228
Shots on target
117
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
3917
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
157
Passes
88% (486/553)75% (233/310)
Long passes
63% (31/49)34% (21/61)
Passes in final third
67% (93/139)55% (41/74)
Crosses
24% (8/33)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.59
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
715
Tackles
67% (6/9)44% (7/16)
Duels won
3940
Clearances
1339
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
3.893.43
Goals prevented
-0.110.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 15', Camara M. ↓, Bianco A. ↑,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Meite S. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Zivkovic A. ⚽, Michailidis G. (A),
  • 29', Zivkovic A. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 3, Konstantelias G. ⚽, Chalov F. (A),
  • 44', Kedziora T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Ngoy N. ↓, Mbemba Ch. ↑,
  • 46', Santos T. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
  • 53', Raghouber U. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 3, Andre B. ⚽, Verdonk C. (A),
  • 62', Raghouber U. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
  • 62', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
  • 66', Chalov F. ↓, Giakoumakis G. ↑,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Igamane H. ⚽, Meunier T. (A),
  • 70', Zivkovic A. (Pen),
  • 74', 2 - 4, Zivkovic A. ⚽, Despodov K. (A),
  • 78', 3 - 4, Igamane H. ⚽, Mbemba Ch. (A),
  • 81', Despodov K. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
  • 88', Sahraoui O. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
  • 90+2', Tsiftsis A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Giakoumakis G. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Kedziora T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lille
35.3%		Draw
31.5%		PAOK
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 23.1% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 22.5% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.
  • PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+25.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Lille - PAOK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.46 ↑
    (1.62)    		 5.47 ↑
    (4.13)    		 4.76 ↓
    (5.33)    		 -42.4%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lille - PAOK?
  • Users Predictions: Lille will win (64 of 74 users predict this - 86.49%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 94.28%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Lille is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, PAOK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Bentaleb N. (Inactive) Gomes A. (Inactive) Mbappe E. (Inactive) Mukau N. (Inactive) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PAOK: Balde M. (Inactive) Berdos D. (Inactive) Chatsidis D. (Injury) Gugeshashvili L. (Inactive) Murg T. (Inactive) Ozdoev M. (Injury) Taison (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Lille
    19.10.2025 Nantes - Lille 0:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Lille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Roma - Lille 0:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Lille - Lyon 0:1 ✺
    25.09.2025 Lille - Brann 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of PAOK
    19.10.2025 AEK Athens - PAOK 0:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Celta de Vigo - PAOK 3:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Asteras Tripolis - PAOK 3:3 ✺
    24.09.2025 PAOK - Maccabi Tel Aviv 0:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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