Result
4:1
01/03/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 24
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
Albania | K-Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1, VOOsport World 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, TV5 |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Fotbool |
France | beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
India | GXR World |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | K Sport 1 |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
Montenegro | Arena Premium 3 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
North-macedonia | Arena Premium 3 |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | beIN Sports |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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3.65 | 1.07 |
Ball Possession |
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58% | 42% |
Goal Attempts |
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26 | 6 |
Shots on Goal |
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11 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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7 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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6 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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20 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 7 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 6 |
Offsides |
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3 | 0 |
Fouls |
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6 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 11 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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52 | 8 |
Passes |
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92% (594/645) | 86% (406/474) |
Passes in the final third |
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84% (122/145) | 79% (84/107) |
Crosses |
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45% (10/22) | 11% (1/9) |
Tackles |
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60% (9/15) | 61% (14/23) |
Clearances Total |
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12 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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13 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Barcola B. ⚽,
- 22', 2 - 0, Marquinhos ⚽, Doue D. (A),
- 28', 3 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Neves J. (A),
- 37', 4 - 0, Doue D. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
- 39', Meunier T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gomes A. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 46', Bakker M. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3vbhjnz7
Chances of winning
Paris Saint-Germain 71.1% | Draw 17.9% | Lille 10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris Saint-Germain that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Paris Saint-Germain - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.47) |
5.35 ↑ (4.87) |
8.78 ↑ (6.05) |
4.3% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Lille?
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 38 - 66.7%). Lille will win (votes: 4 - 7%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 54.5% – 78.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches PSG won 4.
- PSG in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Lille is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- PSG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently PSG have a series of guest games.
- Recently Lille have a series of home games.
- In this match PSG is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Cabella R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in PSG: Lee Kang-In
(Injury)
Vitinha
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's PSG to win the game is with odds 1.38.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches PSG won 15 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 47:20 (average 2.4:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24:10 (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Lille?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Lille has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Lille were as follows:
01.09.2024
Lille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:3
10.02.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lille
3:1
17.12.2023
Lille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:1
19.02.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lille
4:3
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2