Result
05/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Lille
20.8% | Draw
23.7% | Paris Saint-Germain
55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lille - Paris Saint-Germain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.59 ↓
(4.7) |
4.07 ↓
(4.32) |
1.73 ↑
(1.64) |
4.2%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lille - Paris Saint-Germain?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Paris Saint-Germain will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 0.
- Lille has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- PSG is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, PSG is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 21:50. (average 1.1:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 1.1:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Lille has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Lille?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
01.03.2025
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lille
4:1
01.09.2024
Lille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:3
10.02.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lille
3:1
17.12.2023
Lille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:1
19.02.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lille
4:3
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Lyon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Lens | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Nantes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Angers | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
