Result
3:0
16/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 18
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN France, Free, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 4 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1, Varzish Sport |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (643/704) | 85% (373/439) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.34 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (643/704) | 85% (373/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 61% (28/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (170/201) | 74% (78/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 3.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Mayulu S. ↓, Zabarnyi I. ↑,
- 62', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
- 63', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Doue D. (A),
- 76', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 77', Giroud O. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
- 77', Mbappe E. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
- 77', Mukau N. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 84', Doue D. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
- 87', Santos T. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
- 90', Haraldsson H. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 0, Barcola B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Paris Saint-Germain
74.4% | Draw
15.6% | Lille
9.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris Saint-Germain that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Paris Saint-Germain - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.43) |
6.06 ↑
(4.84) |
9.71 ↑
(6.53) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Lille?
Users Predictions:
65 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 52 - 80%). Lille will win (votes: 5 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 70.3% – 89.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - PSG (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - PSG (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 33 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 30 - 90.9%). Lille (votes: 1 - 3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3.
- PSG is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Lille has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, PSG has had a series of home games.
- In this match, PSG is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in PSG: Hakimi A.
(International duty)
Lee Kang-In
(Thigh Injury)
Mbaye I.
(International duty)
Ndjantou Q.
(Muscle Injury)
Neves J.
(Muscle Injury)
Safonov M.
(Broken Hand)
- There will not play in Lille: Andre B.
(Injury)
Fernandez-Pardo M.
(Inactive)
Igamane H.
(International duty)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that PSG will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 48:21. (average 2.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:10. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Lille?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Lille has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Lille were as follows:
05.10.2025
Lille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:1
01.03.2025
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lille
4:1
01.09.2024
Lille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:3
10.02.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lille
3:1
17.12.2023
Lille
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:1
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
