Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Paris Saint-Germain - Lille
Result
4:1
01/03/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 24
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, VOOsport World 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, TV5
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoK Sport 1
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 3
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.651.07
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
266
Shots on Goal
112
Shots off Goal
84
Blocked Shots
70
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
93
Shots inside the Box
202
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
17
Free Kicks
106
Offsides
30
Fouls
610
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
1711
Touches in the Opposition Box
528
Passes
92% (594/645)86% (406/474)
Passes in the final third
84% (122/145)79% (84/107)
Crosses
45% (10/22)11% (1/9)
Tackles
60% (9/15)61% (14/23)
Clearances Total
1217
Interceptions
1311

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Barcola B. ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Marquinhos , Doue D. (A),
  • 28', 3 - 0, Dembele O. , Neves J. (A),
  • 37', 4 - 0, Doue D. , Dembele O. (A),
  • 39', Meunier T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gomes A. , Mbappe E. ,
  • 46', Bakker M. , Haraldsson H. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3vbhjnz7

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
71.1%
Draw
17.9%
Lille
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 19.5% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 19.5% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.
  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris Saint-Germain that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.47)
    5.35
    (4.87)
    8.78
    (6.05)
    4.3%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 38 - 66.7%). Lille will win (votes: 4 - 7%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 26.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 54.5%78.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches PSG won 4.
    • PSG in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Lille is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • PSG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently PSG have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Lille have a series of home games.
    • In this match PSG is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Cabella R. (Hamstring Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSG: Lee Kang-In (Injury) Vitinha (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's PSG to win the game is with odds 1.38.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches PSG won 15 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 47:20 (average 2.4:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24:10 (average 2.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Lille were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Lille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:3
    10.02.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Lille 3:1
    17.12.2023 Lille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1
    19.02.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Lille 4:3
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Lille
    22.02.2025 Lille - Monaco 2:1
    16.02.2025 Rennes - Lille 0:2
    08.02.2025 Lille - Le Havre 1:2
    04.02.2025 Lille - Dunkerque 1:2
    01.02.2025 Lille - Saint-Étienne 4:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2