Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 29
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 2, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 6 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (358/429) | 87% (509/584) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (358/429) | 87% (509/584) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 34% (12/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (66/106) | 69% (64/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.46 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, Andre B. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Cresswell C. ⚽, Messali R. (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 2, Bakker M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Messali R. ↓, King J. ↑,
- 63', David J. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 63', Bakker M. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 64', Cresswell C. 🟨,
- 65', Martinez C. 🟨,
- 71', Alexsandro 🟨,
- 75', Haraldsson H. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
- 84', Mandi A. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
- 84', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 85', Mbappe E. 🟨,
- 87', Suazo G. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
- 87', Sierro V. ↓, Zajc M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toulouse
31% | Draw
29.2% | Lille
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Toulouse - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↑
(2.72) |
3.24 ↓
(3.28) |
2.4 ↓
(2.66) |
5.6%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Lille?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Lille will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 34.6% – 73%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 1.
- Toulouse is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Lille is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nicolaisen R.
(Calf Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Mukau N.
(Hip Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24:31 (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Lille?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Toulouse?
Lille has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Lille were as follows:
05.10.2024
Lille
-
Toulouse
2:1
25.02.2024
Toulouse
-
Lille
3:1
12.11.2023
Lille
-
Toulouse
1:1
18.03.2023
Toulouse
-
Lille
0:2
17.09.2022
Lille
-
Toulouse
2:1
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
