Toulouse vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Toulouse - Lille
Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 29
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 2, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 6
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.37
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
83% (358/429)87% (509/584)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.450.54
Total shots
106
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2512
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
83% (358/429)87% (509/584)
Long passes
38% (18/48)34% (12/35)
Passes in final third
62% (66/106)69% (64/93)
Crosses
31% (5/16)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.35
Fouls
1511
Tackles
83% (10/12)75% (12/16)
Duels won
3648
Clearances Total
1423
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.541.45
Goals prevented
-1.460.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, Andre B. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Cresswell C. ⚽, Messali R. (A),
  • 45+4', 1 - 2, Bakker M. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Messali R. ↓, King J. ↑,
  • 63', David J. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
  • 63', Bakker M. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
  • 64', Cresswell C. 🟨,
  • 65', Martinez C. 🟨,
  • 71', Alexsandro 🟨,
  • 75', Haraldsson H. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
  • 84', Mandi A. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
  • 84', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
  • 85', Mbappe E. 🟨,
  • 87', Suazo G. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
  • 87', Sierro V. ↓, Zajc M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Toulouse
31%		Draw
29.2%		Lille
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 29.1% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 29.6% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
    •

    Toulouse - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.03 ↑
    (2.72)    		 3.24 ↓
    (3.28)    		 2.4 ↓
    (2.66)    		 5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Toulouse - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Lille will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 34.6% – 73%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 1.
    • Toulouse is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Lille is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z. (Hamstring Injury) Nicolaisen R. (Calf Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Mukau N. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24:31 (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Lille were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    25.02.2024 Toulouse - Lille 3:1
    12.11.2023 Lille - Toulouse 1:1
    18.03.2023 Toulouse - Lille 0:2
    17.09.2022 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    06.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Toulouse 3:2 ✺
    30.03.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:4 ✺
    07.03.2025 Toulouse - Monaco 1:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Angers - Toulouse 0:4 ✺
    23.02.2025 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:4 ✺
    Latest results of Lille
    05.04.2025 Lyon - Lille 2:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Nantes - Lille 1:0 ✺
    12.03.2025 Lille - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Lille - Montpellier 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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