Result
0:4
12/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 29
- Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (306/371) | 90% (582/645) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 3.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (306/371) | 90% (582/645) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (14/36) | 52% (22/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (42/65) | 78% (97/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.12 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Meunier T. ⚽, Haraldsson H. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 48', McKenzie M. 🟥,
- 50', 0 - 2, Perraud R. ⚽,
- 55', 0 - 3, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, Andre B. (A),
- 59', Sidibe D. ↓, Cresswell C. ↑,
- 60', Demba P. ↓, Vossah A. ↑,
- 60', Donnum A. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
- 63', Emersonn 🟨,
- 71', Emersonn ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
- 71', Mukau N. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 71', Correia F. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
- 76', Andre B. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 76', Gboho Y. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 80', Methalie D. 🟨,
- 82', Meunier T. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
- 83', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 4, Giroud O. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Toulouse
29% | Draw
29.5% | Lille
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Toulouse - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(3.03) |
3.23 ↓
(3.28) |
2.31 ↓
(2.36) |
4.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Lille?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Lille (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lille will win
(38 of 47 users predict this - 80.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.6% – 92.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Lille could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Francis A.
(Broken Leg)
Magri F.
(Knee Injury)
Messali R.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Igamane H.
(Knee Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Toulouse: Dominguez A.
(Injury)
Hidalgo S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Fernandez-Pardo M.
(Injury)
Sahraoui O.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Lille?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Toulouse?
Lille has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Lille were as follows:
14.09.2025
Lille
-
Toulouse
2:1
12.04.2025
Toulouse
-
Lille
1:2
05.10.2024
Lille
-
Toulouse
2:1
25.02.2024
Toulouse
-
Lille
3:1
12.11.2023
Lille
-
Toulouse
1:1
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
