Result
2:1
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 21
- Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (190/267) | 86% (484/565) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (190/267) | 86% (484/565) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (74/116) | 78% (119/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Hamer T. 🟨,
- 34', McGrandles C. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Robertson A. (Own goal),
- 44', Kellyman O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bagan J. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Ng P. ⚽, Salech Y. (A),
- 63', Moylan J. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
- 64', Draper F. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Bradley S. ⚽, Bayliss T. (A),
- 74', Robertson A. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 74', Willock C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
- 80', Wickens G. 🟨,
- 82', Wintle R. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 86', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
- 87', Street R. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
- 90+6', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
38.1% | Draw
28.6% | Cardiff City
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Lincoln City - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.5) |
3.27 ↑
(3.17) |
2.81 ↑
(2.75) |
6.6%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Cardiff will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cardiff has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Injury)
House B.
(Inactive)
Jackson A.
(Inactive)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Personal Reasons)
Colwill R.
(Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
Osho G.
(Injury)
Tanner O.
(Ankle Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Cardiff City?
Lincoln City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Lincoln City?
Cardiff City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Cardiff City were as follows:
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64:36 | 28 | 69 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 59:31 | 28 | 68 |
| 3 | Bolton | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:33 | 12 | 58 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 48:43 | 5 | 48 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 35:34 | 1 | 48 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 46:36 | 10 | 47 |
| 10 | Luton | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 42:40 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | Plymouth | 33 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 49:49 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 49:48 | 1 | 45 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 39:46 | -7 | 42 |
| 14 | Exeter | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 37:34 | 3 | 41 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 50:52 | -2 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:35 | 2 | 39 |
| 17 | Burton | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40:50 | -10 | 37 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 43:53 | -10 | 36 |
| 21 | Wigan | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34:46 | -12 | 34 |
| 22 | Northampton | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:46 | -16 | 34 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 32:47 | -15 | 31 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 25:43 | -18 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
