Rotherham United vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 31
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.770.98
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
16
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
55
Passes
79% (305/385)81% (290/356)
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.770.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.310.95
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
57
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
27
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
813
Passes
79% (305/385)81% (290/356)
Long passes
53% (32/60)54% (37/68)
Passes in final third
69% (86/125)76% (79/104)
Crosses
11% (2/19)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.97
Throw ins
1926
Fouls
138
Tackles
63% (12/19)47% (7/15)
Duels won
3937
Clearances
1331
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
0.950.31
Goals prevented
-2.050.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Tanner O. 🟨,
  • 21', Wintle R. 🟥,
  • 41', Fish W. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Kellyman O. , Tanner O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Rafferty J. , Cover B. ,
  • 46', Powell J. , Martha A. ,
  • 58', 0 - 2, Willock C. , Tanner O. (A),
  • 65', Willock C. , Ashford C. ,
  • 65', Kellyman O. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 65', Adegboyega E. , Biancheri G. ,
  • 72', Martha A. 🟨,
  • 74', Spence K. , Yearwood D. ,
  • 76', Robertson A. , Kpakio R. ,
  • 77', Tanner O. , Davies I. ,
  • 79', Nombe S. 🟨,
  • 86', Turnbull D. 🟨,
  • 90', Osho G. , Chambers C. ,
  • 90+2', Gray H. , Watmore D. ,
  • 90+3', Baptiste J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 0 - 3, Davies I. , Turnbull D. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rotherham United
27%
Draw
27.5%
Cardiff City
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 25.7% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7% 25.2% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rotherham United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rotherham United - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (4.15)
    3.39
    (3.59)
    2.06
    (1.77)
    6.8%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Cardiff City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 1.
    • Rotherham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cardiff is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Cardiff is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Benson J. (Injury) Hall D. (Inactive) Hatton B. (Inactive) Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Watmore D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Ankle Injury) King E. (Knee Injury) Salech Y. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Cardiff City were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Cardiff City - Rotherham United 3:0
    04.05.2024 Rotherham United - Cardiff City 5:2
    30.09.2023 Cardiff City - Rotherham United 2:0
    29.10.2022 Cardiff City - Rotherham United 1:0
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two