Result
3:0
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (238/306) | 89% (513/577) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (238/306) | 89% (513/577) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (33/69) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (64/100) | 86% (107/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 78% (18/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -1.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
- 30', Towler R. 🟨,
- 32', Devaney J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, Hamer T. ⚽,
- 65', Obikwu J. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
- 65', Okoronkwo F. ↓, Street R. ↑,
- 66', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
- 66', Thorn O. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
- 67', Obi C. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Ring E. ⚽, Lembikisa D. (A),
- 71', Hamer T. ↓, Reach A. ↑,
- 82', Scanlon J. ↓, Ibragimov A. ↑,
- 82', Bennett R. ↓, McAllister F. ↑,
- 85', Fitzgerald J. ↓, Musa V. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
49.3% | Draw
24.1% | Manchester United U21
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.Manchester United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Lincoln City - Manchester United U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.13) |
3.91 ↑
(3.63) |
3.54 ↑
(2.8) |
6.2%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Manchester United U21?
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lincoln City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Man Utd U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lincoln is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Manchester United U21?
Lincoln City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United U21 won against Lincoln City?
Manchester United U21 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Manchester United U21 were as follows:
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Manchester United U21
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | |
Final
