Lincoln City vs Manchester United U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Lincoln City - Manchester United U21
Result
3:0
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.67
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
78% (238/306)89% (513/577)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.010.51
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1719
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
712
Passes
78% (238/306)89% (513/577)
Long passes
48% (33/69)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
64% (64/100)86% (107/124)
Crosses
38% (6/16)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.47
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
127
Tackles
52% (11/21)78% (18/23)
Duels won
4848
Clearances
1232
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.511.01
Goals prevented
0.51-1.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
  • 30', Towler R. 🟨,
  • 32', Devaney J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Hamer T. ,
  • 65', Obikwu J. , Hackett-Fairchild R. ,
  • 65', Okoronkwo F. , Street R. ,
  • 66', Varfolomeev I. , Bayliss T. ,
  • 66', Thorn O. , Draper F. ,
  • 67', Obi C. , Biancheri G. ,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Ring E. , Lembikisa D. (A),
  • 71', Hamer T. , Reach A. ,
  • 82', Scanlon J. , Ibragimov A. ,
  • 82', Bennett R. , McAllister F. ,
  • 85', Fitzgerald J. , Musa V. ,
  • 89', 3 - 0, Hackett-Fairchild R. ,

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
49.3%
Draw
24.1%
Manchester United U21
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 25% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 25.9% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.
  • Manchester United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Lincoln City - Manchester United U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.13)
    3.91
    (3.63)
    3.54
    (2.8)
    6.2%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Manchester United U21?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Lincoln City will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Man Utd U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lincoln is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
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