Result
3:0
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (238/306) | 89% (513/577) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (238/306) | 89% (513/577) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (33/69) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (64/100) | 86% (107/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 78% (18/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -1.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
- 30', Towler R. 🟨,
- 32', Devaney J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, Hamer T. ⚽,
- 65', Obikwu J. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
- 65', Okoronkwo F. ↓, Street R. ↑,
- 66', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
- 66', Thorn O. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
- 67', Obi C. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Ring E. ⚽, Lembikisa D. (A),
- 71', Hamer T. ↓, Reach A. ↑,
- 82', Scanlon J. ↓, Ibragimov A. ↑,
- 82', Bennett R. ↓, McAllister F. ↑,
- 85', Fitzgerald J. ↓, Musa V. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
49.3% | Draw
24.1% | Manchester United U21
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.Manchester United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Lincoln City - Manchester United U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.13) |
3.91 ↑
(3.63) |
3.54 ↑
(2.8) |
6.2%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Manchester United U21?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Man Utd U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lincoln is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Manchester United U21?
Lincoln City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United U21 won against Lincoln City?
Manchester United U21 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Manchester United U21 were as follows:
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Manchester United U21
English EFL Trophy Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stockport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 2 | Salford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 4 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Blackpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 3 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Manchester Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Bolton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Manchester City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Harrogate | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Mansfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Port Vale | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fleetwood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 3 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Burton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Liverpool U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | 0 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Plymouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 3 | Tottenham U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Northampton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 2 | Reading | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Swindon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 1 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crawley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 0 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Colchester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Barnet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 3 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
