Lincoln City vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Lincoln City - Mansfield Town
Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 6
  • Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.58
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
311
Passes
67% (174/258)82% (373/453)
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.84
Total shots
714
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
311
Touches in opposition box
1022
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
67% (174/258)82% (373/453)
Long passes
29% (20/68)43% (20/47)
Passes in final third
37% (31/84)69% (93/134)
Crosses
17% (2/12)23% (8/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.59
Throw-ins
1824
Fouls
1416
Tackles
75% (9/12)80% (4/5)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
3633
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.841.03
Goals prevented
-0.160.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Bradley S. , Collins J. (A),
  • 30', Bradley S. 🟥,
  • 35', Draper F. 🟨,
  • 37', Draper F. , Jackson A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bolton L. , Hendry R. ,
  • 46', Blake-Tracy F. , Cargill B. ,
  • 46', Dickov M. , McLaughlin S. ,
  • 46', Lewis A. , Dwyer D. ,
  • 52', Bayliss T. 🟨,
  • 53', Hackett-Fairchild R. 🟨,
  • 55', Dwyer D. 🟨,
  • 58', Towler R. 🟨,
  • 59', Hamer T. 🟨,
  • 64', Collins J. , House B. ,
  • 65', Hackett-Fairchild R. , Okoronkwo F. ,
  • 65', Hendry R. , Moriah-Welsh N. ,
  • 78', Street R. , Thorn O. ,
  • 79', Bayliss T. , Varfolomeev I. ,
  • 79', Wickens G. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Moriah-Welsh N. , Knoyle K. (A),
  • 87', Cargill B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
42.2%
Draw
28.2%
Mansfield Town
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 26.7% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 27.5% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Lincoln City - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.07)
    3.27
    (3.51)
    3.17
    (3.35)
    6.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Mansfield Town?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Mansfield will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3.
    • Lincoln has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mansfield is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Mansfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Lincoln has had a series of away games.
    • Lincoln will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Moylan J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Gregory L. (Knee Injury) Oshilaja A. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lincoln: Jefferies D. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Oates R. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Mansfield Town were as follows:
    18.02.2025 Mansfield Town - Lincoln City 0:3
    24.08.2024 Lincoln City - Mansfield Town 4:1
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two