Reading vs Lincoln City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 42
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.220.85
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
12
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
33
Passes
88% (549/626)70% (186/265)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.220.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.510.83
Total shots
116
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
23
Shots outside the box
93
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2125
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
25
Free kicks
137
Passes
88% (549/626)70% (186/265)
Long passes
44% (27/62)34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
71% (79/112)58% (69/119)
Crosses
25% (4/16)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.86
Throw ins
2021
Fouls
713
Tackles
59% (10/17)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4746
Clearances
4426
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
00
xGOT faced
0.830.51
Goals prevented
-1.17-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, One R. , Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
  • 28', Doyle K. , Lane P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', House B. , Street R. ,
  • 66', Jefferies D. 🟨,
  • 67', Jefferies D. , Elerewe D. ,
  • 68', One R. , Lloyd A. ,
  • 70', Fraser L. , Keane W. ,
  • 70', Nyambe R. , Roberts H. ,
  • 82', Dorsett A. J. R. , Young K. ,
  • 83', Hackett-Fairchild R. , Moylan J. ,
  • 83', Varfolomeev I. , Bayliss T. ,
  • 84', Burns F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Wing L. ,
  • 90+3', Lloyd A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Moylan J. , McGrandles C. (A),

Chances of winning


Reading
23.8%
Draw
26.8%
Lincoln City
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.2% 27% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 26.5% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Reading - Lincoln City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.93
    (3.64)
    3.47
    (3.4)
    1.9
    (1.92)
    6.9%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Reading - Lincoln City?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Lincoln will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 42%87.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reading will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 0.
    • In recent matches, Reading has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lincoln is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lincoln is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Thigh Injury) O'Mahony M. (Knee Injury) Rinomhota A. (Personal Reasons) Ward B. (Leg Injury) Williams R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J. (Knee Injury) Draper F. (Injury) Honohan J. (Health problems) Jackson A. (Surgery) Reach A. (Inactive) Thorn O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Marriott J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Reading won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Lincoln City were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Lincoln City - Reading 2:0
    18.04.2025 Reading - Lincoln City 0:1
    21.12.2024 Lincoln City - Reading 2:0
    06.04.2024 Reading - Lincoln City 1:1
    16.12.2023 Lincoln City - Reading 1:1
    Latest results of Reading
    28.03.2026 Reading - Wigan Athletic 3:0
    17.03.2026 Burton Albion - Reading 1:2
    14.03.2026 Reading - Plymouth Argyle 2:2
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two