Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 42
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (549/626) | 70% (186/265) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (549/626) | 70% (186/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 34% (20/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (79/112) | 58% (69/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.17 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, One R. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
- 28', Doyle K. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', House B. ↓, Street R. ↑,
- 66', Jefferies D. 🟨,
- 67', Jefferies D. ↓, Elerewe D. ↑,
- 68', One R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 70', Fraser L. ↓, Keane W. ↑,
- 70', Nyambe R. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
- 82', Dorsett A. J. R. ↓, Young K. ↑,
- 83', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
- 83', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
- 84', Burns F. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Wing L. ⚽,
- 90+3', Lloyd A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Moylan J. ⚽, McGrandles C. (A),
Chances of winning
Reading
23.8% | Draw
26.8% | Lincoln City
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Reading - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.93 ↑
(3.64) |
3.47 ↑
(3.4) |
1.9 ↓
(1.92) |
6.9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Reading - Lincoln City?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Lincoln will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 42% – 87.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reading will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 0.
- In recent matches, Reading has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lincoln is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lincoln is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Thigh Injury)
O'Mahony M.
(Knee Injury)
Rinomhota A.
(Personal Reasons)
Ward B.
(Leg Injury)
Williams R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Draper F.
(Injury)
Honohan J.
(Health problems)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
Reach A.
(Inactive)
Thorn O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Reading: Marriott J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Reading won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Lincoln City?
Reading has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Reading?
Lincoln City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Lincoln City were as follows:
02.08.2025
Lincoln City
-
Reading
2:0
18.04.2025
Reading
-
Lincoln City
0:1
21.12.2024
Lincoln City
-
Reading
2:0
06.04.2024
Reading
-
Lincoln City
1:1
16.12.2023
Lincoln City
-
Reading
1:1
Latest results of Reading
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
