Glentoran vs Linfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish Premiership Glentoran - Linfield
Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 7
  • Referee: McMaster B. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Two
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
57
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
78
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
57
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
78
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Hoban P. (Pen),
  • 22', Hoban P. 🟨,
  • 45', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Shields C. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Glentoran
39.2%
Draw
32.2%
Linfield
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 28.2% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 28.1% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Glentoran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Glentoran's performance.
  • Linfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Linfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Glentoran that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Linfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Glentoran - Linfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.82)
    3.24
    (3.29)
    3.64
    (2.38)
    -4.1%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Glentoran - Linfield?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Glentoran will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Linfield will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glentoran won 3.
    • Glentoran has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Linfield's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Linfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Linfield has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glentoran won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Glentoran won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Glentoran - Linfield were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Linfield - Glentoran 2:1
    31.01.2025 Glentoran - Linfield 2:1
    26.12.2024 Glentoran - Linfield 0:0
    03.12.2024 Linfield - Glentoran 0:1
    22.11.2024 Glentoran - Linfield 1:0
    Latest results of Glentoran
    23.08.2025 Crusaders - Glentoran 0:2
    19.08.2025 Glentoran - Glenavon 2:0
    16.08.2025 Glentoran - Bangor 1:0
    Latest results of Linfield
    06.09.2025 Linfield - Portadown 3:0
    31.08.2025 Coleraine - Linfield Postponed
    28.08.2025 Linfield - Shelbourne 0:2
    24.08.2025 Linfield - Cliftonville 1:0
    21.08.2025 Shelbourne - Linfield 3:1
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Glentoran862012:3920
    2Larne861116:21419
    3Linfield751113:21116
    4Coleraine751114:41016
    5Ballymena841312:8413
    6Cliftonville832311:11011
    7Carrick Rangers63129:8110
    8Bangor FC830510:16-69
    9Crusaders821511:18-77
    10Dungannon82066:17-116
    11Portadown82068:20-126
    12Glenavon80082:15-130

          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
          NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )