Result
11/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Championship Group - Round 36
- Referee: McNabb I. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport |
Chances of winning
Linfield
40.9% | Draw
27.9% | Larne
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Linfield - Larne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.3) |
3.31 ↑
(3.2) |
2.96 ↑
(2.88) |
8.3%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 1.
- Linfield is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Larne has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Larne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Linfield has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Linfield won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Linfield won against Larne?
Linfield has won 4 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Linfield?
Larne has won 6 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Linfield - Larne were as follows:
24.02.2026
Larne
-
Linfield
1:1
16.01.2026
Linfield
-
Larne
0:0
05.12.2025
Larne
-
Linfield
0:0
18.04.2025
Larne
-
Linfield
2:1
11.02.2025
Linfield
-
Larne
1:0
Latest results of Linfield
Northern Irish Premiership Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 63:26 | 37 | 76 |
| 2 | Glentoran | 35 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 66:32 | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Coleraine | 35 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 68:33 | 35 | 71 |
| 4 | Linfield | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 60:26 | 34 | 66 |
| 5 | Cliftonville ✔ | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 50:52 | -2 | 47 |
| 6 | Dungannon ✔ | 35 | 15 | 1 | 19 | 42:63 | -21 | 46 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cliftonville is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
Dungannon is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
