Result
1:1
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Millar L. ⚽,
- 33', Brown S. 🟨,
- 45', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Brown S. ↓, Frizzell A. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Frizzell A. ⚽,
- 54', Hall B. 🟨,
- 60', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
- 70', O'Connor T. ↓, Ryan A. ↑,
- 72', Taylor S. ↓, McKee C. ↑,
- 79', Millar L. 🟥,
- 88', McEneff J. ↓, Doherty R. ↑,
- 89', Lusty M. ↓, O'Neill P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Larne
34.8% | Draw
29.1% | Linfield
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Linfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Larne - Linfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↓
(2.94) |
3.16 ↑
(2.95) |
2.54 ↑
(2.49) |
8.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Larne - Linfield?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Linfield will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Linfield: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Larne (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Larne (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Larne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Linfield?
Larne has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Linfield won against Larne?
Linfield has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Linfield were as follows:
16.01.2026
Linfield
-
Larne
0:0
05.12.2025
Larne
-
Linfield
0:0
18.04.2025
Larne
-
Linfield
2:1
11.02.2025
Linfield
-
Larne
1:0
16.11.2024
Larne
-
Linfield
0:1
Latest results of Linfield
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne ✔ | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 53:21 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Coleraine ✔ | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 59:27 | 32 | 61 |
| 3 | Linfield ✔ | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 53:19 | 34 | 59 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 49:28 | 21 | 56 |
| 5 | Dungannon | 30 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 36:54 | -18 | 43 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 45:47 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 | Cliftonville | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Portadown | 28 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 34 |
| 9 | Bangor FC | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 36:52 | -16 | 32 |
| 10 | Ballymena | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 29 |
| 11 | Crusaders ✔ | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 37:63 | -26 | 25 |
| 12 | Glenavon ✔ | 30 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 27:60 | -33 | 19 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
