Result
3:1
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Boggio L. 🟨,
- 10', Rabunal M. 🟨,
- 12', Ancheta E. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
- 35', Hernandez A. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 41', Rea M. 🟨,
- 41', Castillo E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 62', Acosta L. ↓, Catarozzi F. ↑,
- 62', Castro M. ↓, Forclaz E. ↑,
- 62', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
- 66', Rodriguez L. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
- 71', Lopez N. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
- 75', Forclaz E. 🟨,
- 75', 🟨,
- 80', 2 - 1, Boggio L. ⚽,
- 85', Rabunal M. 🟨,
- 85', Bregante F. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
- 85', Amaro K. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
- 90+1', Napoli G. ↓, Soria N. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, De Los Santos J. ⚽,
- 90+3', Gomez M. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
54.9% | Draw
26.4% | Liverpool Montevideo
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4%)
Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.89) |
3.58 ↑
(3.43) |
4.95 ↑
(4.03) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 50.5% – 99.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Nacional (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nacional Montevideo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
- Nacional is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Liverpool has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.
- We predict that Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Liverpool Montevideo?
Nacional Montevideo has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool Montevideo won against Nacional Montevideo?
Liverpool Montevideo has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
26.03.2025
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Nacional Montevideo
2:2
08.09.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Liverpool Montevideo
1:0
15.06.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Liverpool Montevideo
2:1
25.02.2024
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:1
06.02.2024
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Nacional Montevideo
2:1
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maldonado | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Central Esp | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Penarol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Danubio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Boston River | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Juventud | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
