Nacional Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo
Result
3:1
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
73
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
37
Red Cards
01
Total shots
73
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Boggio L. 🟨,
  • 10', Rabunal M. 🟨,
  • 12', Ancheta E. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ,
  • 35', Hernandez A. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Lopez N. ,
  • 41', Rea M. 🟨,
  • 41', Castillo E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', Acosta L. , Catarozzi F. ,
  • 62', Castro M. , Forclaz E. ,
  • 62', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
  • 66', Rodriguez L. , De Los Santos J. ,
  • 71', Lopez N. , Carneiro G. ,
  • 75', Forclaz E. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Boggio L. ,
  • 85', Rabunal M. 🟨,
  • 85', Bregante F. , Suarez L. ,
  • 85', Amaro K. , Machado R. ,
  • 90+1', Napoli G. , Soria N. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, De Los Santos J. ,
  • 90+3', Gomez M. , Villalba Jaume L. M. ,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
54.9%
Draw
26.4%
Liverpool Montevideo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 27.3% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 26.8% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.
  • Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.89)
    3.58
    (3.43)
    4.95
    (4.03)
    6.7%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nacional Montevideo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
    • Nacional is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Liverpool has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
    26.03.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 2:2
    08.09.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 1:0
    15.06.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 2:1
    25.02.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 1:1
    06.02.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 2:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol971119:71222
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Liverpool M1053213:10318
    6Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    7Defensor Sp95136:8-216
    8Progreso1042412:11114
    9Danubio941414:9513
    10CA Cerro104158:12-413
    11Miramar1032513:14-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo93247:15-811
    14Wanderers91172:12-104
    15River Plate100373:15-123
    16Plaza Colonia90276:20-142

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