Nacional Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
54.3%
Draw
25.6%
Liverpool Montevideo
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 27.3% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 26.8% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.89)
    3.79
    (3.43)
    4.53
    (4.03)
    6.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
    • Nacional is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Liverpool has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nacional is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
    26.03.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 2:2
    08.09.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 1:0
    15.06.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 2:1
    25.02.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 1:1
    06.02.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 2:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol751115:6916
    2Cerro Largo75118:3516
    3Boston River743011:3815
    4Montevideo City742115:9614
    5Nacional751116:7913
    6Liverpool M73319:6312
    7Defensor Sp74034:7-312
    8Danubio731311:7410
    9Miramar731313:10310
    10Juventud73045:7-29
    11Progreso72148:11-37
    12CA Cerro72146:10-47
    13Racing Montevideo72144:13-97
    14Wanderers71152:9-74
    15River Plate70250:10-102
    16Plaza Colonia70164:13-91

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )