Nacional Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
73
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
37
Red Cards
01
Total shots
73
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Boggio L. 🟨,
  • 10', Rabunal M. 🟨,
  • 12', Ancheta E. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ,
  • 35', Hernandez A. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Lopez N. ,
  • 41', Rea M. 🟨,
  • 41', Castillo E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', Acosta L. , Catarozzi F. ,
  • 62', Castro M. , Forclaz E. ,
  • 62', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
  • 66', Rodriguez L. , De Los Santos J. ,
  • 71', Lopez N. , Carneiro G. ,
  • 75', Forclaz E. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Boggio L. ,
  • 85', Rabunal M. 🟨,
  • 85', Bregante F. , Suarez L. ,
  • 85', Amaro K. , Machado R. ,
  • 90+1', Napoli G. , Soria N. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, De Los Santos J. ,
  • 90+3', Gomez M. , Villalba Jaume L. M. ,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
54.9%
Draw
26.4%
Liverpool Montevideo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 27.3% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 26.8% 22.7%

Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.89)
3.58
(3.43)
4.95
(4.03)
6.7%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 50.5%99.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Nacional (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nacional Montevideo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
    • Nacional is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Liverpool has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
    26.03.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 2:2
    08.09.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 1:0
    15.06.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 2:1
    25.02.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 1:1
    06.02.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 2:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Esp11003:033
    2Maldonado11004:223
    3Penarol11003:123
    4Nacional11002:113
    5Liverpool M11002:113
    6Danubio11001:013
    7Cerro Largo11001:013
    8Wanderers10101:101
    9Defensor Sp10101:101
    10Boston River10011:2-10
    11Albion10011:2-10
    12CA Cerro10010:1-10
    13Juventud10010:1-10
    14Racing Montevideo10012:4-20
    15Montevideo City10011:3-20
    16Progreso10010:3-30

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