Nacional Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo
Result
3:1
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
73
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
37
Red Cards
01
Total shots
73
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Boggio L. 🟨,
  • 10', Rabunal M. 🟨,
  • 12', Ancheta E. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ,
  • 35', Hernandez A. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Lopez N. ,
  • 41', Rea M. 🟨,
  • 41', Castillo E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', Acosta L. , Catarozzi F. ,
  • 62', Castro M. , Forclaz E. ,
  • 62', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
  • 66', Rodriguez L. , De Los Santos J. ,
  • 71', Lopez N. , Carneiro G. ,
  • 75', Forclaz E. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Boggio L. ,
  • 85', Rabunal M. 🟨,
  • 85', Bregante F. , Suarez L. ,
  • 85', Amaro K. , Machado R. ,
  • 90+1', Napoli G. , Soria N. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, De Los Santos J. ,
  • 90+3', Gomez M. , Villalba Jaume L. M. ,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
54.9%
Draw
26.4%
Liverpool Montevideo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 27.3% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 26.8% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.
  • Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.89)
    3.58
    (3.43)
    4.95
    (4.03)
    6.7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nacional Montevideo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
    • Nacional is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Liverpool has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
    26.03.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 2:2
    08.09.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 1:0
    15.06.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 2:1
    25.02.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 1:1
    06.02.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 2:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1392226:111529
    2Liverpool M1374219:13625
    3Nacional1283124:101424
    4Montevideo City1373323:15824
    5CA Cerro1371513:13022
    6Defensor Sp1371511:13-222
    7Boston River1256120:81221
    8Cerro Largo1354415:14119
    9Progreso1352616:17-117
    10Danubio1343614:12215
    11Racing Montevideo1335511:20-914
    12Miramar1233616:19-312
    13Juventud133376:12-612
    14River Plate132477:17-1010
    15Plaza Colonia132299:22-138
    16Wanderers121295:19-145

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