Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
- 16', Redin E. ↓, Velazquez M. ↑,
- 18', Calleros Y. 🟨,
- 32', Vergara H. 🟨,
- 37', Boggio L. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Maidana A. ↓, Barros C. ↑,
- 54', Velazquez M. ↓, Lorenzi M. ↑,
- 54', Meite Y. 🟨,
- 61', Villalba Jaume L. M. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
- 72', Meite Y. ↓, Piriz F. ↑,
- 72', Vergara H. ↓, Redin M. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Gomez M. ⚽,
- 81', Carneiro G. 🟨,
- 85', Lodeiro N. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 90+1', Barros C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ruiz Diaz H. 🟨,
- 90+5', Lopez N. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
- 90+8', Romero D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Plaza Colonia
13.3% | Draw
22.8% | Nacional Montevideo
63.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Plaza Colonia - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.81 ↑
(6.18) |
4.1 ↑
(3.75) |
1.53 ↓
(1.54) |
4.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia - Nacional Montevideo?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Nacional Montevideo will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 1.
- Plaza Colonia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nacional is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Plaza Colonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Plaza Colonia won against Nacional Montevideo?
Plaza Colonia has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Plaza Colonia?
Nacional Montevideo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plaza Colonia - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
11.09.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
1:2
22.03.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
1:1
29.10.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
4:0
03.09.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
0:0
05.07.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
4:1
Latest results of Plaza Colonia
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 9 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 10 | Danubio | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Juventud | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
