Result
3:2
16/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
Croatia | Arena Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 24 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 90 | 98 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 43 | 22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Leguizamon I. ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ⚽,
- 32', Irala E. 🟨,
- 33', Barrios M. 🟨,
- 36', Lemos L. 🟨,
- 42', Cuello A. 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Cuello A. ⚽, Remedi E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Amaro K. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 50', Barrios N. 🟨,
- 51', Leguizamon I. 🟨,
- 60', Ocampo M. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
- 60', Barrios M. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 2, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Cayetano A. (A),
- 67', Barrios N. ↓, Ferreira C. ↑,
- 78', Leguizamon I. ↓, Medina T. ↑,
- 85', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
- 87', 3 - 2, Campi G. ⚽, Ferreira C. (A),
- 89', Rodriguez D. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 90', Herazo D. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
- 90', Irala E. ↓, Perruzzi F. ↑,
- 90', Rosso J. ↓, Vergara H. ↑,
- 90+3', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
- 90+3', de los Santos M. 🟥,
- 90+6', Ferreira C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo 58.8% | Draw 26.3% | Liverpool Montevideo 14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
San Lorenzo - Liverpool Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↑ (1.55) |
3.58 ↓ (3.7) |
6.28 ↑ (6) |
6.5% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Liverpool Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
San Lorenzo will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- San Lorenzo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Liverpool is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Liverpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently San Lorenzo have a series of guest games.
- Recently Liverpool have a series of home games.
- In this match San Lorenzo is indisputable favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Liverpool Montevideo?
San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool Montevideo won against San Lorenzo?
Liverpool Montevideo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
23.04.2024
Liverpool Montevideo
-
San Lorenzo
1:0
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Latest results of Liverpool Montevideo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)