Result
3:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 10
- Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (254/324) | 84% (422/503) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 2.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (254/324) | 84% (422/503) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (26/54) | 50% (34/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (71/107) | 66% (66/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/31) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.56 | 2.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.56 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Murray S. ⚽, Congreve C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 53', Sylla M. 🟨,
- 56', Tait M. 🟨,
- 59', Sylla M. ↓, May S. ↑,
- 59', Yengi T. ↓, McLennan C. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Westley J. ⚽, Congreve C. (A),
- 70', Tait M. ↓, Carey G. ↑,
- 70', Pittman S. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
- 70', Muirhead R. ↓, Susoho M. ↑,
- 71', Yogane T. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Robertson C. (Own goal),
- 76', Murray S. ↓, Hay A. ↑,
- 77', Congreve C. ↓, Samuels I. ↑,
- 77', Westley J. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
- 82', Acquah E. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 2, Bokila J. (Pen),
- 90', Robertson F. ↓, Reilly C. ↑,
- 90+1', May S. 🟨,
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Jones C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Dundee
32.4% | Draw
29.4% | Livingston
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dundee's form might have worsened.Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Livingston's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundee, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Dundee - Livingston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↑
(2.21) |
3.21 ↓
(3.73) |
2.53 ↓
(2.82) |
4.8%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dundee - Livingston?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Dundee will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Livingston will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Livingston: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Livingston (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Dundee: Dhanda Y.
(Red Card)
Digby P.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Livingston: Blaney S.
(Injury)
Denholm A.
(Injury)
Kerr C.
(Injury)
Montano C.
(Health problems)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundee won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee won against Livingston?
Dundee has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Dundee?
Livingston has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee - Livingston were as follows:
27.01.2024
Livingston
-
Dundee
1:4
05.11.2023
Dundee
-
Livingston
1:0
28.10.2023
Livingston
-
Dundee
0:2
Latest results of Livingston
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Celtic | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Hearts | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | St. Mirren | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Motherwell | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Livingston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Rangers | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
