Result
2:2
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 27
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (449/527) | 66% (152/230) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (449/527) | 66% (152/230) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (30/62) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (131/172) | 51% (39/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (4/46) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 3', 1 - 0, Murray S. ⚽, Yogane T. (A),
- 5', 2 - 0, Murray S. ⚽, Congreve C. (A),
- 15', 2 - 1, Smith L. ⚽,
- 19', 2 - 2, Pittman S. ⚽,
- 32', Halliday B. ↓, Samuels I. ↑,
- 37', Montano C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yogane T. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
- 46', Dhanda Y. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
- 46', Montano C. ↓, Kerr C. ↑,
- 63', Danso E. ↓, May S. ↑,
- 69', Cotterill J. ↓, Reilly C. ↑,
- 79', Muirhead R. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
- 79', Tait M. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
- 85', Smith L. ↓, Tamm A. ↑,
- 87', Astley R. 🟨,
- 90', Wright S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Bokila J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dundee
51.1% | Draw
26.2% | Livingston
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dundee's performance.Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Livingston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dundee that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Livingston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dundee - Livingston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.33) |
3.58 ↑
(3.25) |
4.12 ↑
(2.83) |
6.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dundee - Livingston?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Livingston (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Dundee (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Dundee will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dundee will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Dundee (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Livingston (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 4.
- Dundee has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Livingston has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Livingston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Dundee has had a series of away games.
- Dundee might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Dundee: Hay A.
(Inactive)
Koumetio B.
(Knee Injury)
Robertson C.
(Thigh Injury)
Westley J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Livingston: Arfield S.
(Inactive)
Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
McLennan C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundee won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee won against Livingston?
Dundee has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Dundee?
Livingston has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee - Livingston were as follows:
13.12.2025
Livingston
-
Dundee
2:2
20.09.2025
Dundee
-
Livingston
3:2
27.01.2024
Livingston
-
Dundee
1:4
05.11.2023
Dundee
-
Livingston
1:0
28.10.2023
Livingston
-
Dundee
0:2
Latest results of Livingston
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
