Result
1:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 22
- Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (394/501) | 69% (211/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (394/501) | 69% (211/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 49% (33/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (118/174) | 56% (60/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 3% (1/30) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Kabongolo B. 🟨,
- 10', Kabongolo B. ↓, Wilson D. ↑,
- 29', Susoho M. 🟨,
- 33', Tait M. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, McLennan C. ⚽, Tait M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Martindale D. 🟨,
- 52', Thompson D. 🟨,
- 60', Tiffoney S. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 68', Schjonning-Larsen M. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 68', Thompson J. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Dackers M. ⚽,
- 72', May S. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
- 72', Susoho M. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
- 79', Tait M. ↓, Arfield S. ↑,
- 79', Yengi T. ↓, Tamm A. ↑,
- 89', John-Jules T. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Livingston
42.5% | Draw
29.1% | Kilmarnock
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Livingston - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.23) |
3.23 ↓
(3.27) |
3.3 ↑
(3.29) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Livingston - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Livingston will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Livingston: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Livingston (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Kilmarnock (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Livingston (votes: 1 - 50%). Kilmarnock (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 0.
- In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
- Livingston might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Livingston: Blaney S.
(Calf Injury)
Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kerr C.
(Inactive)
Montgomery A.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Ankle Injury)
Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
Stryjek M.
(Heart Problems)
Watson D.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Lowery T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Kilmarnock?
Livingston has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Livingston?
Kilmarnock has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Livingston - Kilmarnock were as follows:
02.08.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Livingston
2:2
16.07.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Livingston
1:0
07.02.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Livingston
1:0
16.12.2023
Livingston
-
Kilmarnock
0:0
21.10.2023
Kilmarnock
-
Livingston
3:1
Latest results of Livingston
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42:17 | 25 | 50 |
| 2 | Celtic | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Rangers | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 34:17 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 19 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 14 |
| 12 | Livingston | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 22:42 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
