Result
2:2
02/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 1
- Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (175/264) | 79% (380/478) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 2.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (175/264) | 79% (380/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (22/68) | 46% (36/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (55/99) | 68% (92/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 12% (3/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.73 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Daniels D. ⚽, Polworth L. (A),
- 42', 2 - 0, Watson D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Carey G. ↓, Rudden Z. ↑,
- 49', Montgomery A. 🟨,
- 61', Daniels D. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
- 65', Stanger G. 🟥,
- 66', 2 - 1, Muirhead R. (Pen),
- 68', Dackers M. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 72', Winter A. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
- 73', Lyons B. 🟨,
- 77', Sylla M. ↓, May S. ↑,
- 81', Anderson B. 🟨,
- 82', Muirhead R. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
- 85', Lowery T. ↓, Thomson J. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Pittman S. ⚽,
- 89', Finlayson D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
43.2% | Draw
28.1% | Livingston
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kilmarnock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Kilmarnock - Livingston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.98) |
3.36 ↓
(3.53) |
3.31 ↓
(3.65) |
5.6%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Livingston?
Users Predictions:
Kilmarnock will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 4.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Kilmarnock might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Livingston: Kerr C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Livingston: Denholm A.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Livingston?
Kilmarnock has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Kilmarnock?
Livingston has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Livingston were as follows:
16.07.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Livingston
1:0
07.02.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Livingston
1:0
16.12.2023
Livingston
-
Kilmarnock
0:0
21.10.2023
Kilmarnock
-
Livingston
3:1
13.05.2023
Kilmarnock
-
Livingston
2:0
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Latest results of Livingston
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Celtic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Hearts | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Livingston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Rangers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Dundee FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | St. Mirren | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 10 | Dundee Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
