Result
2:0
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 31
- Referee: Lee R. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (276/360) | 80% (412/516) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (276/360) | 80% (412/516) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/51) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (73/108) | 60% (68/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Hugill J. ⚽, Watkins M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Watkins M. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
- 56', Tshibola A. ↓, Lyons B. ↑,
- 62', Montano C. 🟨,
- 63', Muirhead R. ↓, McKay B. ↑,
- 63', Tait M. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
- 67', Schjonning-Larsen M. ↓, Thompson D. ↑,
- 67', Polworth L. ↓, Lowery T. ↑,
- 72', Nouble J. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
- 72', Pittman S. ↓, Danso E. ↑,
- 73', Wilson D. ↓, Arfield S. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 0, Curtis F. ⚽, Hugill J. (A),
- 79', Kiltie G. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 84', Kabongolo B. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
52.1% | Draw
25.3% | Livingston
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kilmarnock's performance.Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kilmarnock that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Kilmarnock - Livingston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.08) |
3.71 ↑
(3.28) |
4.15 ↑
(3.38) |
6.1%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Livingston?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kilmarnock (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kilmarnock will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Kilmarnock is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
John-Jules T.
(Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Livingston: Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lawal S.
(Inactive)
McLennan C.
(Ankle Injury)
Zimmerman J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Tshibola A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Livingston: Nouble J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Livingston?
Kilmarnock has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Kilmarnock?
Livingston has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Livingston were as follows:
10.01.2026
Livingston
-
Kilmarnock
1:1
02.08.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Livingston
2:2
16.07.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Livingston
1:0
07.02.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Livingston
1:0
16.12.2023
Livingston
-
Kilmarnock
0:0
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Latest results of Livingston
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 53:25 | 28 | 66 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 31 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 56:26 | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 56:34 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 49:23 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 39:40 | -1 | 43 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 40:48 | -8 | 37 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31:49 | -18 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 25:47 | -22 | 27 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 35:60 | -25 | 27 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 31 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 31:61 | -30 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
