Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (472/528) | 73% (178/245) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.56 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (472/528) | 73% (178/245) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (26/42) | 32% (17/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (100/127) | 54% (45/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 3.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Torres E. ⚽, Castillo J. (A),
- 16', Lopez A. 🟥,
- 33', 2 - 0, Lucumi C. ⚽, Suarez K. (A),
- 39', Montes G. ↓, Mina Chara J. E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bodencer E. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 46', Mina Chara J. E. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 1, Angulo ⚽, Mantilla D. (A),
- 67', Benitez B. ↓, Goez Y. ↑,
- 72', Fernandez W. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 72', Torres E. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 75', Mantilla D. ↓, Uruena B. ↑,
- 75', Restrepo E. ↓, Ospina N. ↑,
- 81', Lucumi C. 🟨,
- 82', Castillo J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 84', Goez Y. 🟨,
- 85', Franco P. 🟨,
- 89', 3 - 1, Gil M. ⚽, Manjarres R. (A),
- 90+2', Munoz J. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
- 90+2', Suarez K. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5n6t9v5b
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
51% | Draw
28.1% | Llaneros SA
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Alianza Valledupar - Llaneros SA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.88) |
3.36 ↑
(3.32) |
4.43 ↑
(4.27) |
6.3%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Llaneros SA?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alianza Valledupar will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Alianza is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alianza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Llaneros SA?
Alianza Valledupar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Alianza Valledupar?
Llaneros SA has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Llaneros SA were as follows:
11.04.2025
Llaneros SA
-
Alianza Valledupar
0:1
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Junior | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Alianza | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | America De Cali | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 17 |
| 14 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 17 |
| 15 | Envigado | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 16 | Pereira | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 | Chico | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 12 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
