Llaneros SA vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar
Result
0:1
11/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Ponton E. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.17
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
81% (287/353)80% (282/351)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.470.54
Total shots
155
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
127
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
108
Passes
81% (287/353)80% (282/351)
Long passes
48% (27/56)48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
66% (79/119)56% (45/81)
Crosses
13% (4/30)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.32
Fouls
810
Tackles
88% (7/8)75% (9/12)
Duels won
2931
Clearances Total
1030
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.540.47
Goals prevented
-0.460.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Sierra C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Mendoza Benitez D. A. 🟨,
  • 57', Montes G. 🟨,
  • 61', Mendoza Benitez D. A. , Manjarres R. ,
  • 61', Torres E. , Pardo F. ,
  • 66', Hinojosa R. , Churi B. ,
  • 70', Navarro E. , Rosales Y. ,
  • 70', Fernandez W. , Munoz J. ,
  • 74', Valencia K. , Rangel M. ,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Pardo F. , Martinez M. (A),
  • 79', Gil M. , Aponza Cantonil S. A. ,
  • 83', Montes G. , Medina M. ,
  • 83', Sierra C. , Reina H. ,
  • 83', Espinal F. , Sierra M. ,
  • 87', Sierra M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4738kve7

Chances of winning


Llaneros SA
35.9%
Draw
32.3%
Alianza Valledupar
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 31.6% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 29% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.53)
    2.92
    (2.96)
    2.97
    (2.99)
    6.7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Llaneros SA (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Llaneros SA will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 14).
    • Recent matches Llaneros SA is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alianza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Llaneros SA will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Llaneros SA
    Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Llaneros53206:1511
    3Fortaleza52308:629
    4Santa Fe52306:429
    5Atl. Nacional52218:538
    6Ind. Medellin52127:707
    7Pereira52126:607
    8Deportes Tolima52124:407
    9Envigado41215:505
    10Chico51226:7-15
    11Alianza51225:7-25
    12La Equidad51223:5-25
    13Dep. Cali51224:8-45
    14Bucaramanga31116:514
    15Dep. Pasto21105:414
    16America De Cali31113:304
    17U. Magdalena41122:6-44
    18Aguilas50325:7-23
    19Once Caldas40135:9-41
    20Millonarios30030:3-30

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