Independiente Santa Fe vs Llaneros SA – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Campín (Bogotá).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
Referee: Marquez C. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.86	0.60
Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
3	4
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
12	4
Passes
76% (248/325)	72% (232/321)
Yellow cards
4	5
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.86	0.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.23	0.48
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
2	0
Shots inside the box
8	5
Shots outside the box
3	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
12	4
Touches in opposition box
22	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	2
Free kicks
10	13
Passes
76% (248/325)	72% (232/321)
Long passes
40% (22/55)	33% (25/76)
Passes in final third
59% (61/104)	56% (40/72)
Crosses
22% (7/32)	58% (7/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.77	0.42
Throw ins
25	11
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
57% (4/7)	91% (10/11)
Duels won
41	43
Clearances
13	45
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.48	0.23
Goals prevented
-0.52	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Mafla C. 🟨,
5', Marimon L. 🟨,
33', Mafla C. 🟨,
33', Sierra M. 🟨,
37', Repetto P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kelvin Osorio ↓, Caicedo K. ↑,
46', Marimon L. ↓, Cortes C. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Jhon Vasquez ⚽, Ospina N. (A),
54', Moreno V. 🟨,
56', Miranda L. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
63', Fernandez O. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
63', Palacios H. ↓, Puerta M. ↑,
69', Lovera M. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
70', Caicedo K. 🟨,
70', Quintero D. 🟨,
72', Quintero D. ↓, Mena Posada H. H. ↑,
79', Velasquez Y. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
79', Torres J. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
84', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
90', Olivera E. 🟨,
90+3', Moralez A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4jaw92sm

Chances of winning

Independiente Santa Fe
64.9%

Draw
22.8%

Llaneros SA
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

26.1%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.3%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llaneros SA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+5%)

Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.67)	4.12 ↑ (3.58)	7.66 ↑ (5.23)	7% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA?

Users Predictions: Independiente Santa Fe will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Santa Fe is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Santa Fe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Llaneros SA?

Independiente Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Independiente Santa Fe?

Llaneros SA has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA were as follows:

12.10.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA 1:3

30.04.2025 Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1

Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe

27.03.2026 Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2 ✺

23.03.2026 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 2:1 ✺

18.03.2026 Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar 1:1 ✺

25.02.2026 Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Llaneros SA

30.03.2026 Llaneros SA - Once Caldas 1:1 ✺

25.03.2026 América de Cali - Llaneros SA 0:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Llaneros SA - Cúcuta Deportivo 2:2 ✺

13.03.2026 Atlético Nacional - Llaneros SA 2:0 ✺

09.03.2026 Llaneros SA - Jaguares de Córdoba 2:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional ✔	15	11	1	3	30:11	19	34
2	Dep. Pasto	15	8	4	3	21:17	4	28
3	Deportes Tolima	15	7	6	2	24:13	11	27
4	Once Caldas	15	6	7	2	26:19	7	25
5	Junior	15	8	1	6	21:20	1	25
6	America De Cali	15	7	3	5	19:12	7	24
7	Dep. Cali	15	6	4	5	17:13	4	22
8	Aguilas	15	6	4	5	16:17	-1	22
9	Inter Bogotu00e1	15	5	7	3	18:20	-2	22
10	Millonarios	15	6	3	6	25:17	8	21
11	Llaneros	15	4	8	3	16:14	2	20
12	Bucaramanga	15	4	7	4	18:14	4	19
13	Santa Fe	15	4	7	4	18:19	-1	19
14	Ind. Medellin	14	4	5	5	19:19	0	17
15	Fortaleza	15	3	7	5	17:23	-6	16
16	Cucuta	16	3	6	7	21:27	-6	15
17	Alianza	15	3	6	6	10:22	-12	15
18	Jaguares de Cordoba	16	4	2	10	14:28	-14	14
19	Chico	14	3	2	9	11:21	-10	11
20	Pereira	15	0	6	9	14:29	-15	6

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )