Result
0:1
30/04/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.13 | 1.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
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20 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 3 |
Passes |
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86% (387/451) | 66% (153/231) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.13 | 1.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.20 | 1.71 |
Total shots |
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20 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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11 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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26 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 1 |
Offsides |
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0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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16 | 8 |
Passes |
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86% (387/451) | 66% (153/231) |
Long passes |
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61% (36/59) | 44% (24/54) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (88/129) | 55% (27/49) |
Crosses |
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32% (12/37) | 45% (5/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.48 | 1.61 |
Throw-ins |
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22 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 16 |
Tackles |
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100% (6/6) | 68% (13/19) |
Duels won |
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47 | 40 |
Clearances |
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9 | 47 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.71 | 0.20 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.71 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 35', Moreno V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Torres J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 53', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
- 63', Zapata A. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 63', Velasquez Y. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Torres D. ⚽, Rodallega H. (A),
- 72', Torres D. 🟨,
- 76', Lopez A. ↓, Espinal F. ↑,
- 81', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Mafla C. ↑,
- 83', Churi B. ↓, Valencia K. ↑,
- 90', Rodallega H. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 90+6', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3w7dsnyh
Chances of winning
Llaneros SA 34.5% | Draw 32.1% | Independiente Santa Fe 33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llaneros SA's performance.Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llaneros SA that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Santa Fe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.72 ↓ (3.35) |
2.89 ↓ (3.4) |
2.8 ↑ (2.02) |
7% (8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Santa Fe could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match, the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Llaneros SA has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Llaneros SA?
Independiente Santa Fe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )