Result
1:3
12/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (399/479) | 75% (216/288) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (399/479) | 75% (216/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (32/63) | 40% (27/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (103/154) | 63% (45/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 50% (1/2) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.40 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', Restrepo E. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Meza F. ⚽, Uruena B. (A),
- 40', Mojica A. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Mafla C. ⚽, Zapata A. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Miranda L. ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Escobar Salcedo J. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
- 60', Miranda L. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 68', Murillo E. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 3, Cortes C. ⚽, Lopez A. (A),
- 72', Angulo J. ↓, Mina Chara J. E. ↑,
- 73', Uruena B. ↓, Ospina N. ↑,
- 78', Fernandez O. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 85', Sierra M. ↓, Sierra C. ↑,
- 85', Torres D. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 85', Zapata A. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 90+5', Torres J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2948zusz
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
60.6% | Draw
24.4% | Llaneros SA
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.6) |
3.86 ↓
(3.9) |
6.19 ↑
(5.2) |
6.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Santa Fe (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Independiente Santa Fe will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Santa Fe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
- Santa Fe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Llaneros SA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Santa Fe is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Fe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Llaneros SA?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Llaneros SA has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA were as follows:
30.04.2025
Llaneros SA
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Junior | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Chico | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Alianza | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
