Result
1:3
12/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 0.89 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
83% (399/479) | 75% (216/288) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 0.89 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.39 | 2.40 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
32 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
83% (399/479) | 75% (216/288) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (32/63) | 40% (27/67) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (103/154) | 63% (45/72) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (11/31) | 30% (3/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.38 | 1.05 |
Throw-ins |
---|
32 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (6/9) | 50% (1/2) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 20 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
1 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.40 | 1.39 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.60 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', Restrepo E. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Meza F. ⚽, Uruena B. (A),
- 40', Mojica A. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Mafla C. ⚽, Zapata A. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Miranda L. ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Escobar Salcedo J. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
- 60', Miranda L. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 68', Murillo E. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 3, Cortes C. ⚽, Lopez A. (A),
- 72', Angulo J. ↓, Mina Chara J. E. ↑,
- 73', Uruena B. ↓, Ospina N. ↑,
- 78', Fernandez O. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 85', Sierra M. ↓, Sierra C. ↑,
- 85', Torres D. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 85', Zapata A. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 90+5', Torres J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2948zusz
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe 60.6% | Draw 24.4% | Llaneros SA 15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↓ (1.6) |
3.86 ↓ (3.9) |
6.19 ↑ (5.2) |
6.5% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Independiente Santa Fe will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
- Santa Fe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Llaneros SA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Santa Fe is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Fe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Llaneros SA?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Llaneros SA has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA were as follows:
30.04.2025
Llaneros SA
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 31 |
2 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 30 |
3 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
6 | Llaneros | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 25 |
7 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
8 | Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Aguilas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
10 | America De Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
11 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
12 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 19 |
14 | Pereira | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
15 | U. Magdalena | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
16 | Millonarios | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 17 |
17 | Envigado | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 13 |
19 | Chico | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 13 |
20 | La Equidad | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )