Result
0:1
30/04/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (387/451) | 66% (153/231) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (387/451) | 66% (153/231) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (36/59) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (88/129) | 55% (27/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (12/37) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 35', Moreno V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Torres J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 53', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
- 63', Zapata A. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 63', Velasquez Y. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Torres D. ⚽, Rodallega H. (A),
- 72', Torres D. 🟨,
- 76', Lopez A. ↓, Espinal F. ↑,
- 81', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Mafla C. ↑,
- 83', Churi B. ↓, Valencia K. ↑,
- 90', Rodallega H. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 90+6', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3w7dsnyh
Chances of winning
Llaneros SA
34.5% | Draw
32.1% | Independiente Santa Fe
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llaneros SA's performance.Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llaneros SA that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Santa Fe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↓
(3.35) |
2.89 ↓
(3.4) |
2.8 ↑
(2.02) |
7%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Santa Fe could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match, the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Llaneros SA has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Llaneros SA?
Independiente Santa Fe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Pereira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Envigado | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Chico | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Dep. Pasto | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Alianza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | America De Cali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
