Llaneros SA vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe
Result
0:1
30/04/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.42
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
86% (387/451)66% (153/231)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.201.71
Total shots
208
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
122
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
2613
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
168
Passes
86% (387/451)66% (153/231)
Long passes
61% (36/59)44% (24/54)
Passes in final third
68% (88/129)55% (27/49)
Crosses
32% (12/37)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.481.61
Throw-ins
2213
Fouls
816
Tackles
100% (6/6)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4740
Clearances
947
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.710.20
Goals prevented
0.710.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Lopez A. 🟨,
  • 35', Moreno V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Torres J. , Lopez E. ,
  • 53', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
  • 63', Zapata A. , Mosquera H. ,
  • 63', Velasquez Y. , Molina T. ,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Torres D. , Rodallega H. (A),
  • 72', Torres D. 🟨,
  • 76', Lopez A. , Espinal F. ,
  • 81', Perlaza Perea Y. A. , Mafla C. ,
  • 83', Churi B. , Valencia K. ,
  • 90', Rodallega H. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 90+6', Rodriguez A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3w7dsnyh

Chances of winning


Llaneros SA
34.5%
Draw
32.1%
Independiente Santa Fe
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 27% 45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26% 25.6% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llaneros SA's performance.
  • Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llaneros SA that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Santa Fe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (3.35)
    2.89
    (3.4)
    2.8
    (2.02)
    7%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Santa Fe could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match, the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Llaneros SA
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional32017:436
    2Junior22005:236
    3Fortaleza22003:126
    4Santa Fe31203:215
    5Chico21103:124
    6Pereira31114:404
    7Alianza31112:204
    8Dep. Pasto11003:213
    9Deportes Tolima31023:4-13
    10Llaneros20200:002
    11Aguilas30212:3-12
    12Bucaramanga10101:101
    13America De Cali10100:001
    14U. Magdalena10100:001
    15Envigado20110:1-11
    16Ind. Medellin20111:3-21
    17La Equidad20111:3-21
    18Dep. Cali20110:2-21
    19Millonarios00000:000
    20Once Caldas20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )