Result
1:1
30/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Montano W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (237/280) | 76% (203/266) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (237/280) | 76% (203/266) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (20/38) | 35% (18/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (67/92) | 64% (45/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽,
- 40', Gomez P. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Rincon K. ⚽,
- 45', Rincon K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gomez P. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 46', Alvarado J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 52', Rincon K. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
- 64', Caicedo K. 🟨,
- 66', Moreno D. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
- 68', Cortes C. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
- 68', Miranda L. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 74', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
- 77', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 80', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Guzman H. ↑,
- 84', Sanchez L. ↓, Beltran J. ↑,
- 86', Caicedo K. ↓, Marimon L. ↑,
- 86', Ospina N. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
- 89', Pertuz J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Zuleta M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2rmzpxvz
Chances of winning
Llaneros SA
31% | Draw
27.3% | Once Caldas
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Llaneros SA - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.85) |
3.44 ↑
(3.2) |
2.25 ↓
(2.48) |
6.6%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Llaneros SA - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Once Caldas (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- Llaneros SA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Once Caldas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Llaneros SA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Llaneros SA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Once Caldas?
Llaneros SA has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Llaneros SA?
Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llaneros SA - Once Caldas were as follows:
19.10.2025
Llaneros SA
-
Once Caldas
2:0
27.03.2025
Once Caldas
-
Llaneros SA
1:0
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
