Result
0:1
01/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Marquez C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (248/325) | 72% (232/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (248/325) | 72% (232/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 33% (25/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (61/104) | 56% (40/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (7/32) | 58% (7/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Mafla C. 🟨,
- 5', Marimon L. 🟨,
- 33', Mafla C. 🟨,
- 33', Sierra M. 🟨,
- 37', Repetto P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kelvin Osorio ↓, Caicedo K. ↑,
- 46', Marimon L. ↓, Cortes C. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Jhon Vasquez ⚽, Ospina N. (A),
- 54', Moreno V. 🟨,
- 56', Miranda L. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 63', Fernandez O. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
- 63', Palacios H. ↓, Puerta M. ↑,
- 69', Lovera M. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 70', Caicedo K. 🟨,
- 70', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 72', Quintero D. ↓, Mena Posada H. H. ↑,
- 79', Velasquez Y. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
- 79', Torres J. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
- 84', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
- 90', Olivera E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Moralez A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4jaw92sm
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
64.9% | Draw
22.8% | Llaneros SA
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llaneros SA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+5%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.67) |
4.12 ↑
(3.58) |
7.66 ↑
(5.23) |
7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA?
Users Predictions:
Independiente Santa Fe will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santa Fe is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Santa Fe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Llaneros SA?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Llaneros SA has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA were as follows:
12.10.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Llaneros SA
1:3
30.04.2025
Llaneros SA
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
