Result
1:4
28/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Gullick L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 48', 1 - 1, Gauci C. ⚽,
- 54', 1 - 2, Griffiths D. ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 3, Evans K. (Own goal),
- 89', 1 - 4, Gullick L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Llantwit Major
21.1% | Draw
22% | Caerau Ely
56.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Llantwit Major - Caerau Ely Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.34 ↑
(4.11) |
4.15 ↓
(4.24) |
1.61 ↓
(1.69) |
9.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4).
- In recent matches, Llantwit Major has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Caerau is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Caerau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Caerau is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Llantwit Major won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Llantwit Major won against Caerau Ely?
Llantwit Major has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Llantwit Major?
Caerau Ely has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llantwit Major - Caerau Ely were as follows:
12.09.2025
Caerau Ely
-
Llantwit Major
0:0
05.04.2025
Llantwit Major
-
Caerau Ely
1:0
07.02.2025
Caerau Ely
-
Llantwit Major
2:4
02.02.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Llantwit Major
3:2
30.09.2023
Llantwit Major
-
Caerau Ely
1:4
Latest results of Llantwit Major
Latest results of Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin ✔ | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 78:17 | 61 | 75 |
| 2 | Cambrian United ✔ | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 72:19 | 53 | 73 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 66:34 | 32 | 56 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 43 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 43:44 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Newport City | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 36:43 | -7 | 37 |
| 10 | Treowen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 47:62 | -15 | 34 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 46:51 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 31:53 | -22 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 44:61 | -17 | 28 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27:56 | -29 | 22 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 29 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 24:76 | -52 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
