Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 0 - 1, Bowen L. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Llantwit Major
18.2% | Draw
24.1% | Trefelin
57.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Llantwit Major - Trefelin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.97 ↓
(5.07) |
3.75 ↓
(3.95) |
1.57 ↓
(1.6) |
10.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 1.
- Llantwit Major has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Trefelin is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Llantwit Major may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Trefelin is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 2.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Llantwit Major won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Llantwit Major won against Trefelin?
Llantwit Major has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trefelin won against Llantwit Major?
Trefelin has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llantwit Major - Trefelin were as follows:
25.08.2025
Trefelin
-
Llantwit Major
3:3
25.01.2025
Llantwit Major
-
Trefelin
0:0
16.08.2024
Trefelin
-
Llantwit Major
3:1
02.03.2024
Llantwit Major
-
Trefelin
3:1
09.09.2023
Trefelin
-
Llantwit Major
3:3
Latest results of Llantwit Major
Latest results of Trefelin
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 68:18 | 50 | 66 |
| 2 | Trefelin ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 66 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 50 |
| 4 | Ammanford | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40:38 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Treowen | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 46:50 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Newport City | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 42:46 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:55 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Baglan Dragons | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Ynyshir Albions | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:48 | -24 | 21 |
| 15 | Afan Lido | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 25:52 | -27 | 21 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic ✔ | 24 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18:61 | -43 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cwmbran Celtic is Relegated to
