Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 0 - 1, Bowen L. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Llantwit Major
18.2% | Draw
24.1% | Trefelin
57.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Llantwit Major - Trefelin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.97 ↓
(5.07) |
3.75 ↓
(3.95) |
1.57 ↓
(1.6) |
10.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 1.
- Llantwit Major has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Trefelin is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Llantwit Major may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Trefelin is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 2.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Llantwit Major won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Llantwit Major won against Trefelin?
Llantwit Major has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trefelin won against Llantwit Major?
Trefelin has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llantwit Major - Trefelin were as follows:
25.08.2025
Trefelin
-
Llantwit Major
3:3
25.01.2025
Llantwit Major
-
Trefelin
0:0
16.08.2024
Trefelin
-
Llantwit Major
3:1
02.03.2024
Llantwit Major
-
Trefelin
3:1
09.09.2023
Trefelin
-
Llantwit Major
3:3
Latest results of Llantwit Major
Latest results of Trefelin
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin ✔ | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 78:17 | 61 | 75 |
| 2 | Cambrian United ✔ | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 72:19 | 53 | 73 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 66:34 | 32 | 56 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 43 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 43:44 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Newport City | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 36:43 | -7 | 37 |
| 10 | Treowen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 47:62 | -15 | 34 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 46:51 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 31:53 | -22 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 44:61 | -17 | 28 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27:56 | -29 | 22 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 29 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 24:76 | -52 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
