Trefelin vs Llantwit Major – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Trefelin - Llantwit Major
Result
3:3
25/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 5

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Rowe K. ,
  • 17', 0 - 2, Stokes T. M. ,
  • 28', 1 - 2, Ware L. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 2 - 2, Bowen L. ,
  • 85', 3 - 2, Davies J. ,
  • 88', 3 - 3, Bevan L. ,

Chances of winning


Trefelin
57.2%
Draw
22.2%
Llantwit Major
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 23.9% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 23.1% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Trefelin - Llantwit Major Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.72)
    4.11
    (3.8)
    4.45
    (3.87)
    9.4%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 1.
    • Recent performances by Trefelin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Llantwit Major is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Trefelin is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Trefelin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trefelin - Llantwit Major were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Llantwit Major - Trefelin 0:0
    16.08.2024 Trefelin - Llantwit Major 3:1
    02.03.2024 Llantwit Major - Trefelin 3:1
    09.09.2023 Trefelin - Llantwit Major 3:3
    04.03.2023 Trefelin - Llantwit Major 0:1
    Latest results of Trefelin
    22.08.2025 Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic 4:0
    16.08.2025 Treowen Stars - Trefelin 1:3
    09.08.2025 Trefelin - Newport City 0:2
    02.08.2025 Trefelin - Pen-y-Bont 1:6
    Latest results of Llantwit Major
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United971123:32022
    2Trefelin953120:81218
    3Caerau Ely852117:61117
    4Cardiff Draconians951313:8516
    5Carmarthen Town944110:5516
    6Ammanford94419:7216
    7Newport City843113:8515
    8Aberystwyth84228:6214
    9Trethomas Bluebirds924314:17-310
    10Baglan Dragons915310:1008
    11Pontypridd922513:17-48
    12Llantwit Major91449:13-47
    13Afan Lido92169:18-97
    14Treowen913511:22-116
    15Ynyshir Albions81257:20-135
    16Cwmbran Celtic90367:25-183

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