Lealtad vs Llerenense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
22/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
33
Total shots
89
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Yerpes Santillana S. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Cantarino Abelleira D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 2 - 1, ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Lealtad
38.9%
Draw
32.1%
Llerenense
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 27.8% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 28% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Lealtad - Llerenense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.24)
    2.87
    (3.32)
    3.18
    (2.99)
    8.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Lealtad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Llerenense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lealtad could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lealtad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lealtad - Llerenense were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Llerenense - Lealtad 1:0
    Latest results of Lealtad
    Latest results of Llerenense
    15.06.2025 Llerenense - Lealtad 1:0
    08.06.2025 Llerenense - Badajoz 2:0
    01.06.2025 Badajoz - Llerenense 1:0
    25.05.2025 Jaraíz - Llerenense 1:2
    18.05.2025 Llerenense - Jaraíz 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela26158341:202153
    2Arosa SC26158348:291953
    3Somozas26119627:21642
    4Racing Club Villalbes261011529:191041
    5Atletico Arteixo26109738:32639
    6Gran Pena26911638:30838
    7Barco261151027:27038
    8Estradense26910734:26837
    9Lugo B26910729:29037
    10Celtiga261061038:32636
    11Boiro2699829:23636
    12Alondras26971034:36-234
    13Montaneros26810834:31334
    14Viveiro26781120:32-1229
    15Silva SD26661418:34-1624
    16Cambados263121117:26-921
    17Noia26461618:42-2418
    18Barbadas-Bentraces26371616:46-3016

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