Lealtad vs Llerenense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
22/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
33
Total shots
89
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Yerpes Santillana S. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Cantarino Abelleira D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 2 - 1, ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Lealtad
38.9%
Draw
32.1%
Llerenense
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 27.8% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 28% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Lealtad - Llerenense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.24)
    2.87
    (3.32)
    3.18
    (2.99)
    8.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Lealtad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Llerenense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lealtad could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lealtad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lealtad - Llerenense were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Llerenense - Lealtad 1:0
    Latest results of Lealtad
    Latest results of Llerenense
    15.06.2025 Llerenense - Lealtad 1:0
    08.06.2025 Llerenense - Badajoz 2:0
    01.06.2025 Badajoz - Llerenense 1:0
    25.05.2025 Jaraíz - Llerenense 1:2
    18.05.2025 Llerenense - Jaraíz 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arosa SC331910455:332267
    2Compostela331811454:282665
    3Atletico Arteixo33169852:421057
    4Boiro331311943:271650
    5Estradense331311943:321150
    6Somozas331311935:30550
    7Racing Club Villalbes331213834:28649
    8Lugo B331212940:33748
    9Gran Pena331212952:411148
    10Barco331371334:38-446
    11Montaneros3311121044:41345
    12Alondras331191343:48-542
    13Celtiga331171545:45040
    14Viveiro339111327:40-1338
    15Silva SD33981634:46-1235
    16Cambados334141523:39-1626
    17Noia33672027:52-2525
    18Barbadas-Bentraces33472225:67-4219

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