Lealtad vs Llerenense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
22/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
33
Total shots
89
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Yerpes Santillana S. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Cantarino Abelleira D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 2 - 1, ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Lealtad
38.9%
Draw
32.1%
Llerenense
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 27.8% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 28% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Lealtad - Llerenense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.24)
    2.87
    (3.32)
    3.18
    (2.99)
    8.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Lealtad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Llerenense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lealtad could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lealtad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lealtad - Llerenense were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Llerenense - Lealtad 1:0
    Latest results of Lealtad
    Latest results of Llerenense
    15.06.2025 Llerenense - Lealtad 1:0
    08.06.2025 Llerenense - Badajoz 2:0
    01.06.2025 Badajoz - Llerenense 1:0
    25.05.2025 Jaraíz - Llerenense 1:2
    18.05.2025 Llerenense - Jaraíz 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela30179449:242560
    2Arosa SC301610451:331858
    3Atletico Arteixo30149748:341451
    4Somozas301210831:26546
    5Racing Club Villalbes301113632:211146
    6Barco301361133:35-245
    7Estradense301111838:29944
    8Boiro301111834:25944
    9Montaneros301110941:36543
    10Gran Pena301012844:38642
    11Lugo B301011931:32-141
    12Celtiga301171243:38540
    13Alondras301091140:42-239
    14Viveiro308101225:37-1234
    15Cambados304141223:33-1026
    16Silva SD30681623:43-2026
    17Noia30471919:47-2819
    18Barbadas-Bentraces30471923:55-3219

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