Lobos UPNFM vs Honduras Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Lobos UPNFM - Honduras Progreso
Result
4:2
11/03/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12

Chances of winning


Lobos UPNFM
49.6%
Draw
26.8%
Honduras Progreso
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 26% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 23.4% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Honduras Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Lobos UPNFM - Honduras Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.82)
    3.35
    (3.5)
    3.79
    (3.8)
    11.6%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 2.
    • Recent matches Lobos UPNFM is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Honduras Progreso is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Lobos UPNFM is a favorite.
    • Last 25 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 14 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 40-29.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lobos UPNFM won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-15.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Honduras Progreso were as follows:
    28.01.2023 Honduras Progreso - Lobos UPNFM 0:2
    15.10.2022 Honduras Progreso - Lobos UPNFM 2:2
    Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
    Latest results of Honduras Progreso
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia1283128:141427
    2Marathon1265126:111523
    3Olancho1256126:17921
    4Real Espana1253418:14418
    5Motagua1153321:19218
    6UPNFM1244419:21-216
    7Platense1243520:15515
    8Juticalpa1245315:21-613
    9Genesis1223716:22-69
    10Choloma1121812:32-207
    11Victoria1212912:27-155

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