Locri vs Cittanovese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group I Locri - Cittanovese
Result
3:1
02/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 29

Chances of winning


Locri
47.7%
Draw
29.4%
Cittanovese
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 26.1% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 24.8% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Locri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Locri's form might have worsened.
  • Cittanovese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Locri than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Locri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittanovese than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Locri - Cittanovese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.67)
    3.08
    (3.46)
    3.95
    (4.58)
    10.6%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Locri is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cittanovese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Locri is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Locri won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Locri won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    Latest results of Locri
    12.03.2023 Locri - Paternò 0:1
    05.03.2023 Castrovillari - Locri 0:1
    26.02.2023 Mariglianese - Locri 0:3
    19.02.2023 Locri - Catania 0:4
    Latest results of Cittanovese
    19.03.2023 Cittanovese - Mariglianese 0:2
    12.03.2023 Catania - Cittanovese 1:0
    05.03.2023 Cittanovese - Vibonese 1:1
    26.02.2023 Licata - Cittanovese 1:1
    19.02.2023 Cittanovese - San Luca 0:0
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1