Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

RZD Arena (Moscow).

Premier League - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.99	0.37
Ball possession
59%	41%
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
7	4
Passes
78% (299/385)	65% (174/266)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.99	0.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.14	0.26
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked shots
2	1
Shots inside the box
8	3
Shots outside the box
3	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
29	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
11	24
Passes
78% (299/385)	65% (174/266)
Long passes
53% (25/47)	35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
61% (72/118)	53% (48/90)
Crosses
30% (8/27)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.16
Throw ins
24	20
Fouls
24	11
Tackles
81% (17/21)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
61	63
Clearances
24	28
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.26	1.14
Goals prevented
-1.74	-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Melkadze G. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Samorodov M. ⚽,
30', Montes C. ↓, Nyamsi G. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 2, Lucas Fasson ⚽, Morozov E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Karpukas A. 🟨,
48', 2 - 2, Prutsev D. ⚽,
60', Pryakhin S. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,
61', Karpukas A. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
67', Batrakov A. 🟨,
87', Samorodov M. ↓, Kenzhebek G. ↑,
90+1', Nenakhov M. ↓, Silyanov A. ↑,
90+1', Sidorov M. ↓, Khlusevich D. ↑,
90+1', Sadulaev L. ↓, Abdulkadyrov D. ↑,
90+5', Ndong O. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lokomotiv Moscow
55.2%

Draw
23.9%

Akhmat Grozny
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

24.8%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

24%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.81)	4.01 ↑ (3.72)	4.58 ↑ (3.8)	4.5% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Akhmat (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Moscow will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Moscow will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 4 - 80%). Akhmat (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.
Lokomotiv is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Akhmat is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Akhmat has had a series of home games.
In this match, Lokomotiv is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:16. (average 1.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Akhmat Grozny?

Lokomotiv Moscow has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Lokomotiv Moscow?

Akhmat Grozny has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:

13.09.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1

15.04.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny 2:1

07.03.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny 1:1

04.08.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow 0:5

07.04.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow 0:2

Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow

05.03.2026 Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow - Pari NN 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow 3:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow - Pyunik 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow - Dinamo Samarqand 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Akhmat Grozny

01.03.2026 Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow 1:0 ✺

18.02.2026 Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny 2:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Akhmat Grozny - AGMK 3:2 ✺

29.01.2026 Akhmat Grozny - Vardar 1:0 ✺

18.01.2026 Akhmat Grozny - OFK Beograd 3:0 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	24	16	5	3	49:17	32	53
2	Zenit	24	15	7	2	44:17	27	52
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	24	12	9	3	50:33	17	45
4	Baltika	24	11	11	2	34:13	21	44
5	CSKA Moscow	24	13	3	8	36:26	10	42
6	Spartak Moscow	24	12	6	6	38:32	6	42
7	Dynamo Moscow	24	9	7	8	43:35	8	34
8	Rubin Kazan	24	9	7	8	23:25	-2	34
9	Akhmat Grozny	24	8	7	9	29:31	-2	31
10	FK Rostov	24	6	8	10	19:26	-7	26
11	Dynamo Makhachkala	24	5	8	11	15:30	-15	23
12	Akron Togliatti	24	5	7	12	30:43	-13	22
13	Krylya Sovetov	24	5	7	12	25:44	-19	22
14	Pari NN	24	6	3	15	20:39	-19	21
15	Orenburg	24	4	8	12	24:36	-12	20
16	Sochi	24	3	3	18	21:53	-32	12

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL