Rubin Kazan vs Lokomotiv Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ak Bars Arena (Kazan).

Premier League - Round 21
Referee: Abrasimov I. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 8

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.22	0.45
Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
70% (291/413)	72% (307/426)
Yellow cards
0	6
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.22	0.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.86	0.26
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked shots
6	3
Shots inside the box
9	6
Shots outside the box
4	1
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
16	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
21	13
Passes
70% (291/413)	72% (307/426)
Long passes
35% (32/91)	24% (15/63)
Passes in final third
55% (62/113)	49% (56/115)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	0.68
Throw ins
20	24
Fouls
13	21
Tackles
63% (10/16)	57% (4/7)
Duels won
75	44
Clearances
32	19
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.26	0.86
Goals prevented
0.26	-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Vujacic I. ⚽,
36', Artiga F. 🟨,
44', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bakaev Z. ↓, Silyanov A. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Mitryushkin A. (Own goal),
61', Vorobyev D. 🟨,
62', Teslenko E. ↓, Gritsaenko A. ↑,
62', Jocic B. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Kuznetsov D. ⚽, Bezrukov R. (A),
72', Vorobyev D. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
72', Rudenko A. ↓, Myalkovskiy R. ↑,
72', Lucas Fasson ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
75', Rozhkov I. ↓, Nizhegorodov K. ↑,
75', Gripshi N. ↓, Zotov A. ↑,
78', Nyamsi G. 🟨,
80', Batrakov A. 🟨,
84', Hodza V. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
90+1', Myalkovskiy R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Rubin Kazan
27.4%

Draw
29.2%

Lokomotiv Moscow
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28.5%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

27.8%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.92)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)	2.21 ↓ (2.31)	4.4% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow?

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Moscow will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2.
Rubin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lokomotiv's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Lokomotiv could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Rubin: Iwu U. (Muscle Injury) Saavedra I. (Yellow Cards) Shvets A. (Knee Injury) Siwe J. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Lokomotiv: Pinyaev S. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:31. (average 0.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Lokomotiv Moscow?

Rubin Kazan has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Rubin Kazan?

Lokomotiv Moscow has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:

27.09.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan 1:0

12.04.2025 Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:0

02.11.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan 1:0

13.07.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan 3:4

20.04.2024 Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1

Latest results of Rubin Kazan

08.03.2026 Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Dynamo Makhachkala - Rubin Kazan 2:1 ✺

20.02.2026 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 0:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Rubin Kazan - Pakhtakor 2:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Rubin Kazan - Kairat Canceled ✺

Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow

09.03.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny 2:2 ✺

05.03.2026 Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow - Pari NN 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow 3:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow - Pyunik 1:1 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	23	16	4	3	48:16	32	52
2	Zenit	23	15	6	2	43:16	27	51
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	23	12	8	3	49:32	17	44
4	Baltika	23	11	10	2	32:11	21	43
5	CSKA Moscow	23	13	3	7	36:25	11	42
6	Spartak Moscow	23	12	5	6	37:31	6	41
7	Rubin Kazan	23	9	6	8	23:25	-2	33
8	Dynamo Moscow	23	8	7	8	40:33	7	31
9	Akhmat Grozny	23	8	6	9	27:29	-2	30
10	FK Rostov	23	6	7	10	18:25	-7	25
11	Akron Togliatti	23	5	7	11	28:40	-12	22
12	Dynamo Makhachkala	23	5	7	11	14:29	-15	22
13	Krylya Sovetov	23	5	6	12	23:42	-19	21
14	Pari NN	23	6	2	15	18:37	-19	20
15	Orenburg	23	4	7	12	24:36	-12	19
16	Sochi	23	2	3	18	20:53	-33	9

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL