Result
3:0
15/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
- Referee: Abrasimov I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (291/413) | 72% (307/426) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (291/413) | 72% (307/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (32/91) | 24% (15/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (62/113) | 49% (56/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Vujacic I. ⚽,
- 36', Artiga F. 🟨,
- 44', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Bakaev Z. ↓, Silyanov A. ↑,
- 55', 2 - 0, Mitryushkin A. (Own goal),
- 61', Vorobyev D. 🟨,
- 62', Teslenko E. ↓, Gritsaenko A. ↑,
- 62', Jocic B. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 0, Kuznetsov D. ⚽, Bezrukov R. (A),
- 72', Vorobyev D. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
- 72', Rudenko A. ↓, Myalkovskiy R. ↑,
- 72', Lucas Fasson ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
- 75', Rozhkov I. ↓, Nizhegorodov K. ↑,
- 75', Gripshi N. ↓, Zotov A. ↑,
- 78', Nyamsi G. 🟨,
- 80', Batrakov A. 🟨,
- 84', Hodza V. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 90+1', Myalkovskiy R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rubin Kazan
27.4% | Draw
29.2% | Lokomotiv Moscow
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↑
(2.92) |
3.28 ↑
(3.23) |
2.21 ↓
(2.31) |
4.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow?
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiv Moscow will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2.
- Rubin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lokomotiv's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lokomotiv could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Rubin: Iwu U.
(Muscle Injury)
Saavedra I.
(Yellow Cards)
Shvets A.
(Knee Injury)
Siwe J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiv: Pinyaev S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:31. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Rubin Kazan has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Rubin Kazan?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:
27.09.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rubin Kazan
1:0
12.04.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:0
02.11.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rubin Kazan
1:0
13.07.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rubin Kazan
3:4
20.04.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42:16 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Zenit | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 38:14 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 43:29 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Baltika | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 26:9 | 17 | 39 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 36 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:30 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Pari NN | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 18:31 | -13 | 20 |
| 14 | Krylya Sovetov | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 20:48 | -28 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
