Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 10
- Referee: Bobrovskiy Y. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (443/536) | 68% (208/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (443/536) | 68% (208/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 40% (24/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (79/131) | 53% (47/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Pogostnov E. 🟨,
- 39', Prutsev D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pogostnov E. ↓, Nyamsi G. ↑,
- 46', Hodza V. ↓, Kuzyaev D. ↑,
- 69', Jocic B. ↓, Jukic A. ↑,
- 69', Siwe J. ↓, Shabanhaxhaj D. ↑,
- 72', Karpukas A. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 0, Barinov D. ⚽, Lucas Fasson (A),
- 83', Rudenko A. 🟨,
- 88', Lucas Fasson ↓, Nenakhov M. ↑,
- 88', Rudenko A. ↓, Myalkovskiy R. ↑,
- 90+1', Rozhkov I. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 90+3', Shabanhaxhaj D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Moscow
49.3% | Draw
25.7% | Rubin Kazan
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93
(1.93) |
3.84 ↑
(3.6) |
4.06 ↑
(3.6) |
2.6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Rubin will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 2.
- Lokomotiv is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rubin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Lokomotiv is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lokomotiv: Bakaev Z.
(Red Card)
Pinyaev S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Rubin: Maldonado D.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Rubin Kazan?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Rubin Kazan has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
12.04.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:0
02.11.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rubin Kazan
1:0
13.07.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rubin Kazan
3:4
20.04.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
01.11.2023
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rubin Kazan
3:0
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | Zenit | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Baltika | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
