Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 8
- Referee: Davidov G. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 10 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 17 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Itu C. ⚽, Umarbaev P. (A),
- 22', Cova A. 🟨,
- 32', Caio Vidal 🟨,
- 33', Lucas Ryan 🟨,
- 44', Ivanov I. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Itu C. ↓, Touma G. ↑,
- 46', Tekpetey B. ↓, Bile E. ↑,
- 46', Pedro Naressi ↓, Erick Marcus ↑,
- 58', Lucas Ryan ↓, Chindris A. ↑,
- 65', Son ↓, Stanic P. ↑,
- 65', Chochev I. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 73', Iliev D. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
- 73', Ali E. ↓, Atanasov M. ↑,
- 80', Nachmias I. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
- 83', Lamy J. ↓, Andreev P. ↑,
- 90+1', Atanasov M. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Stanic P. ⚽, Kurtulus E. (A),
- 90+12', Kurtulus E. 🟨,
- 90+12', Milosavljevic B. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdeu88x5
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
15.4% | Draw
24.5% | Ludogorets Razgrad
60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludogorets Razgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.07 ↑
(5.73) |
3.8 ↑
(3.73) |
1.53 ↓
(1.54) |
8.1%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Ludogorets has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ludogorets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ludogorets is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:40. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Plovdiv won against Ludogorets Razgrad?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ludogorets Razgrad won against Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Ludogorets Razgrad has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad were as follows:
30.03.2025
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Ludogorets Razgrad
1:0
06.10.2024
Ludogorets Razgrad
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1:0
22.05.2024
Ludogorets Razgrad
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3:0
30.03.2024
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Ludogorets Razgrad
1:2
06.12.2023
Ludogorets Razgrad
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4:0
Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | Lok. Plovdiv | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | Botev Vratsa | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | CSKA Sofia | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Beroe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Arda | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Montana | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 | Slavia Sofia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Botev Plovdiv | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Dobrudzha | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8:18 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
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