Beroe Stara Zagora vs Lokomotiv Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
03/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 14
  • Referee: Kirov T. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
48
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
716
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
38
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1313
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
1112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Masogo A. 🟨,
  • 33', Caio Lopes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Sonha T. , Salido Tajero A. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Costantini F. (Own goal),
  • 62', 0 - 2, Galchev P. , Stanoev K. (A),
  • 63', Luann , Miloshev K. ,
  • 68', Galchev P. 🟨,
  • 73', Caue Caruzo , Minchev G. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Valbuena Y. , Salido Tajero A. (A),
  • 80', Katsarov B. 🟨,
  • 80', Masogo A. , Pineda J. ,
  • 84', Costantini F. 🟨,
  • 90', Delev S. , Octavio ,
  • 90', Stanoev K. , Acka D. ,
  • 90', Galchev P. , Ali D. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Octavio , Bidounga R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Beroe Stara Zagora
32.6%
Draw
29.1%
Lokomotiv Sofia
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.4% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 26.9% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beroe Stara Zagora's form might have worsened.
  • Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Sofia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beroe Stara Zagora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.19)
    3.23
    (3.24)
    2.48
    (3.12)
    6.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Beroe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 0.
    • Beroe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lokomotiv Sofia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Beroe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beroe won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora 2:1
    29.07.2024 Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:0
    21.05.2024 Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:3
    09.04.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora 1:0
    06.10.2023 Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:1
    Latest results of Beroe Stara Zagora
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia ✔ 27212460:194165
    2Ludogorets ✔ 27168354:193556
    3CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ 27165645:281753
    4CSKA Sofia27147638:221649
    5Cherno More271110632:191343
    6Lok. Plovdiv271011628:32-441
    7Arda27108930:25538
    8Slavia Sofia27981032:30235
    9Botev Vratsa27810921:23-234
    10Lok. Sofia27810936:34234
    11Botev Plovdiv27961231:36-533
    12Dobrudzha ✔ 27741621:37-1625
    13Spartak Varna ✔ 274111224:45-2123
    14Beroe ✔ 274101318:39-2122
    15Septemvri Sofia ✔ 27631823:57-3421
    16Montana ✔ 27371714:42-2816

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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )