Beroe Stara Zagora vs Lokomotiv Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
03/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 14
  • Referee: Kirov T. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
48
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
716
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
38
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1313
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
1112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Masogo A. 🟨,
  • 33', Caio Lopes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Sonha T. , Salido Tajero A. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Costantini F. (Own goal),
  • 62', 0 - 2, Galchev P. , Stanoev K. (A),
  • 63', Luann , Miloshev K. ,
  • 68', Galchev P. 🟨,
  • 73', Caue Caruzo , Minchev G. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Valbuena Y. , Salido Tajero A. (A),
  • 80', Katsarov B. 🟨,
  • 80', Masogo A. , Pineda J. ,
  • 84', Costantini F. 🟨,
  • 90', Delev S. , Octavio ,
  • 90', Stanoev K. , Acka D. ,
  • 90', Galchev P. , Ali D. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Octavio , Bidounga R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Beroe Stara Zagora
32.6%
Draw
29.1%
Lokomotiv Sofia
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.4% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 26.9% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beroe Stara Zagora's form might have worsened.
  • Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Sofia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beroe Stara Zagora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.19)
    3.23
    (3.24)
    2.48
    (3.12)
    6.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Beroe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 0.
    • Beroe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lokomotiv Sofia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Beroe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beroe won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora 2:1
    29.07.2024 Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:0
    21.05.2024 Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:3
    09.04.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora 1:0
    06.10.2023 Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:1
    Latest results of Beroe Stara Zagora
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia23182356:173956
    2Ludogorets23128342:182444
    3CSKA 1948 Sofia23134635:251043
    4CSKA Sofia23117533:191440
    5Cherno More2399527:171036
    6Lok. Plovdiv23811425:25035
    7Slavia Sofia2487927:28-131
    8Arda2387824:23131
    9Botev Plovdiv24851129:33-429
    10Botev Vratsa23610716:19-328
    11Lok. Sofia2269727:27027
    12Spartak Varna24411922:34-1223
    13Dobrudzha23641319:30-1122
    14Septemvri Sofia23631422:46-2421
    15Beroe243101117:37-2019
    16Montana24371414:37-2316

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