Result
1:0
03/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Yankov D. 🟨,
- 32', Dinev Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dost E. 🟨,
- 46', Dost E. 🟨,
- 53', Ali E. 🟨,
- 54', Minchev G. ↓, Acka D. ↑,
- 59', Dinev Z. ↓, Itu C. ↑,
- 59', Ali E. ↓, Trdan M. ↑,
- 69', Yankov D. ↓, Diego Raposo ↑,
- 70', 1 - 0, Zwarts J. ⚽,
- 72', Ivanov I. ↓, Chorbadzhiyski G. B. ↑,
- 72', Idriz S. ↓, Lamy J. ↑,
- 79', Stanoev K. ↓, Luann ↑,
- 85', Acka D. 🟨,
- 90', Atanasov M. ↓, Kirashki D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 40.7% | Draw 30.6% | Lokomotiv Sofia 28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-1%)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.29 ↑ (2.15) |
3.03 ↓ (3.05) |
3.25 ↑ (3.14) |
7.5% (11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1.
- Recent performances by Lokomotiv Plovdiv have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lokomotiv Sofia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Plovdiv won against Lokomotiv Sofia?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Sofia won against Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Lokomotiv Sofia has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia were as follows:
24.10.2025
Lokomotiv Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2:2
09.07.2025
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Lokomotiv Sofia
1:1
02.05.2025
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Lokomotiv Sofia
1:1
23.02.2025
Lokomotiv Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0:1
01.09.2024
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Lokomotiv Sofia
1:1
Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 63:21 | 42 | 69 |
| 2 | Ludogorets ✔ | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 57:19 | 38 | 60 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia ✔ | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 42:22 | 20 | 55 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 45:31 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | Lok. Plovdiv ✔ | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 45 |
| 6 | Cherno More ✔ | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Arda | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:27 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:31 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Lok. Sofia | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 37 |
| 10 | Botev Plovdiv | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Botev Vratsa | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 21:23 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha ✔ | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 23:39 | -16 | 26 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna ✔ | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:50 | -26 | 23 |
| 14 | Beroe ✔ | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 22 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia ✔ | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:57 | -34 | 22 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Lok. Plovdiv is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
Cherno More is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )