Montana vs Lokomotiv Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
02/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 18
  • Referee: Chinkov V. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Total shots
84
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
22
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1413
Throw-ins
3125
Fouls
1212

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Delev S. ,
  • 31', Bidounga R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Ali D. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Dimitrov B. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Stanoev K. ,
  • 71', Minchev G. , Caue Caruzo ,
  • 71', Stanoev K. , Luann ,
  • 72', Iliev K. 🟨,
  • 75', Acheampong C. , Atanasov P. ,
  • 75', Kokonov I. , Vitinho ,
  • 81', Sakor V. , Iliadis I. ,
  • 82', Bidounga R. 🟨,
  • 84', Vitinho 🟨,
  • 85', Dost E. , Diego Raposo ,
  • 85', Delev S. , Acka D. ,
  • 90+4', Ali D. , Miloshev K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montana
28.1%
Draw
30.7%
Lokomotiv Sofia
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 28.6% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 27.2% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montana than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Montana - Lokomotiv Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (3.5)
    3.04
    (3.2)
    2.26
    (2.02)
    7.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Montana - Lokomotiv Sofia?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Montana will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lokomotiv Sofia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montana won 4.
    • Montana has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lokomotiv Sofia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Montana has had a series of away games.
    • Lokomotiv Sofia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Montana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montana - Lokomotiv Sofia were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia - Montana 3:0
    Latest results of Montana
    23.11.2025 Montana - Levski Sofia 1:5
    09.11.2025 Slavia Sofia - Montana 2:1
    02.11.2025 CSKA Sofia - Montana 2:1
    29.10.2025 Marek Dupnitsa - Montana 1:4
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia ✔ 27212460:194165
    2Ludogorets ✔ 27168354:193556
    3CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ 27165645:281753
    4CSKA Sofia27147638:221649
    5Cherno More271110632:191343
    6Lok. Plovdiv271011628:32-441
    7Arda27108930:25538
    8Slavia Sofia27981032:30235
    9Botev Vratsa27810921:23-234
    10Lok. Sofia27810936:34234
    11Botev Plovdiv27961231:36-533
    12Dobrudzha ✔ 27741621:37-1625
    13Spartak Varna ✔ 274111224:45-2123
    14Beroe ✔ 274101318:39-2122
    15Septemvri Sofia ✔ 27631823:57-3421
    16Montana ✔ 27371714:42-2816

          Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )