Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 6
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (350/431) | 80% (285/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (350/431) | 80% (285/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (37/85) | 44% (17/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (52/94) | 70% (62/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Jankovic N. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Husic A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Krivak F. ↓, Virgili D. ↑,
- 50', Menalo L. 🟨,
- 59', Menalo L. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
- 59', Gojak A. ↓, Orec A. ↑,
- 60', Butic S. ↓, Adu Adjei D. ↑,
- 62', Dajcer L. 🟨,
- 67', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
- 72', Jankovic N. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 72', Stojakovic A. ↓, Sobol H. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Virgili D. ⚽,
- 75', Pajac M. ↓, Leovac M. ↑,
- 84', Dantas T. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 87', Petrovic D. 🟨,
- 88', Boskovic B. ↓, Jukic T. ↑,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+1', Dajcer L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Lasickas J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
65.7% | Draw
23.4% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rijeka's performance.Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiva Zagreb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rijeka that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiva Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.58) |
4.44 ↑
(3.85) |
10 ↑
(5.16) |
-1.8%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 1 - 50%). Lokomotiva (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 3.
- Rijeka is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lokomotiva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lokomotiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Rijeka is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:19. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:5. (average 2.7:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Rijeka has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Rijeka?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
06.04.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Rijeka
0:1
26.01.2025
Rijeka
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
4:1
18.10.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Rijeka
2:2
04.08.2024
Rijeka
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
4:0
28.04.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Rijeka
3:1
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 5 | Gorica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Rijeka | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Osijek | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
