Result
2:0
01/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 24
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (232/324) | 79% (362/456) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (232/324) | 79% (362/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (24/72) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (49/89) | 61% (70/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Stojakovic A. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Dantas T. ⚽, Juric A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dajcer L. ↓, Trajkovski A. ↑,
- 46', Sabra I. ↓, Belcar L. ↑,
- 46', Majstorovic A. ↓, Radeljic S. ↑,
- 47', Lasickas J. 🟨,
- 54', Fruk T. 🟨,
- 61', Rukavina G. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
- 62', Juric A. ↓, Adu Adjei D. ↑,
- 67', Fruk T. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
- 74', Morchiladze T. 🟨,
- 78', Morchiladze T. ↓, Legbo D. ↑,
- 86', Jukic T. 🟨,
- 89', Subotic M. ↓, Situm M. ↑,
- 89', Vesovic M. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
- 90', Barco A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 0, Adu Adjei D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
54.6% | Draw
26.2% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rijeka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.6) |
3.56 ↓
(4.13) |
4.83 ↓
(4.91) |
7.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rijeka will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Rijeka is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Rijeka: Petrovic D.
(Red Card)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Leovac M.
(Injury)
Mbacke D.
(Injury)
Sigali L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rijeka: Barisic T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Stojakovic A.
(Injury)
Vukovic D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:19. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 27:6. (average 2.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Rijeka has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Rijeka?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
30.11.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Rijeka
1:1
13.09.2025
Rijeka
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:1
06.04.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Rijeka
0:1
26.01.2025
Rijeka
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
4:1
18.10.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Rijeka
2:2
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 63:22 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 37 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Gorica | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 9 | Osijek | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
