Result
1:0
22/04/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 31
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (303/382) | 82% (315/385) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (303/382) | 82% (315/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (45/81) | 39% (14/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (46/86) | 67% (82/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 30% (15/50) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 4 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Skaricic L. ↓, Lesjak S. ↑,
- 46', Sikosek G. ↓, Borsic A. ↑,
- 46', Canjuga I. ↓, Duvnjak T. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Mamic L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 67', Latkovic A. 🟨,
- 67', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
- 68', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 68', Legbo D. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
- 74', Latkovic A. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
- 77', Gojak A. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
- 81', Tavares I. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
37.8% | Draw
29.2% | Rijeka
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varaždin's performance.Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rijeka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varaždin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rijeka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Varaždin - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.97) |
3.2 ↑
(3.1) |
2.83 ↑
(2.34) |
7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Varaždin (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Varaždin (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 3.
- Varaždin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rijeka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Juric S.
(Inactive)
Mladenovski M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Barisic T.
(Injury)
Dantas T.
(Yellow Cards)
Fruk T.
(Injury)
Orec A.
(Red Card)
Radeljic S.
(Yellow Cards)
Skoric M.
(Knee Injury)
Vignato S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Varaždin: Borsic A.
(Inactive)
Skaricic L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Rijeka?
Varaždin has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Varaždin?
Rijeka has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Rijeka were as follows:
14.02.2026
Rijeka
-
Varaždin
3:1
09.11.2025
Varaždin
-
Rijeka
1:0
24.08.2025
Rijeka
-
Varaždin
1:2
13.04.2025
Rijeka
-
Varaždin
1:0
01.02.2025
Varaždin
-
Rijeka
1:0
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 87:27 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 44:36 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 38:50 | -12 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38:45 | -7 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 34:62 | -28 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
