Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 7
- Referee: Melnjak A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (364/460) | 77% (301/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (364/460) | 77% (301/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (80/124) | 53% (43/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Pajac M. 🟨,
- 34', Kolinger D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Virgili D. ↓, Krivak F. ↑,
- 46', Puclin D. ↓, Belcar L. ↑,
- 46', Abdullazada R. ↓, Bockaj P. ↑,
- 54', Mamut I. ↓, Puncec R. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Krivak F. ⚽,
- 65', Marina M. ↓, Duvnjak T. ↑,
- 65', Borsic A. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
- 71', Stojakovic A. ↓, Sobol H. ↑,
- 74', Katic I. 🟨,
- 81', Vasilj J. ↓, Subotic M. ↑,
- 82', Boskovic B. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
- 86', Latkovic A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Vukovic D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Belcar L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Pajac M. ↓, Leovac M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
33.3% | Draw
30.2% | Varaždin
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Varaždin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8
(2.8) |
3.09 ↓
(3.2) |
2.56 ↓
(2.65) |
7.2%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Varaždin?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Lokomotiva will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiva (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 2.
- Lokomotiva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Varaždin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Dajcer L.
(Red Card)
Gorican S.
(Inactive)
Lorber M.
(Inactive)
Situm M.
(Inactive)
Susak M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Varaždin: Mamic L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Antolic D.
(Inactive)
Boune M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Varaždin?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Varaždin has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Varaždin were as follows:
26.04.2025
Varaždin
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:1
21.02.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Varaždin
1:0
18.01.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Varaždin
3:2
23.11.2024
Varaždin
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:1
01.09.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Varaždin
0:1
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Gorica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Osijek | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Rijeka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
