Result
4:2
07/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 16
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (156/237) | 79% (252/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.27 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (156/237) | 79% (252/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (19/69) | 58% (38/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (40/73) | 59% (47/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 3.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Stojakovic A. ⚽,
- 19', 0 - 2, Pajac M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', Marina M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Katic I. 🟨,
- 45+3', Pajac M. ↓, Dajcer L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Skaricic L. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
- 46', Marina M. ↓, Belcar L. ↑,
- 46', Antunovic M. ↓, Tavares I. ↑,
- 46', Susak M. ↓, Subotic M. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 2, Barac M. ⚽, Borsic A. (A),
- 54', 2 - 2, Tavares I. ⚽,
- 56', Ba L. 🟨,
- 56', Boskovic B. 🟨,
- 66', Barac M. ↓, Puncec R. ↑,
- 69', Katic I. ↓, Antolic D. ↑,
- 69', Sobol H. ↓, Trajkovski A. ↑,
- 78', Posavec J. 🟨,
- 78', Latkovic A. ↓, Mamut I. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Mamut I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', Mamut I. 🟨,
- 90', Boskovic B. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Mamic L. ⚽, Mamut I. (A),
- 90+4', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
39.3% | Draw
30.4% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Varaždin - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.4) |
3.08 ↓
(3.19) |
3.14 ↑
(2.93) |
6.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Varaždin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Borsic A.
(Red Card)
Puncec R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Leovac M.
(Injury)
Sigali L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Varaždin has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Varaždin?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
20.09.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Varaždin
1:0
26.04.2025
Varaždin
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:1
21.02.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Varaždin
1:0
18.01.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Varaždin
3:2
23.11.2024
Varaždin
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:1
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 36:16 | 20 | 35 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 34 |
| 3 | Istra 1961 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 23 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Gorica | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 19 |
| 8 | Lok. Zagreb | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:28 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:30 | -12 | 15 |
| 10 | Osijek | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
