Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 32
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (319/404) | 76% (294/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (319/404) | 76% (294/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 38% (22/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (66/112) | 51% (48/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Mudrazija R. (Pen),
- 32', Vukovic D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Dabro M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Skaricic L. ↓, Barac M. ↑,
- 46', Borsic A. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
- 59', Kolinger D. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Mitrovski D. ⚽,
- 63', Vukovic D. ↓, Vrbancic L. ↑,
- 65', Fetai F. 🟨,
- 67', Dabro M. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
- 74', Marina M. 🟨,
- 76', Krivak F. ↓, Canjuga I. ↑,
- 76', Leovac M. ↓, Dajcer L. ↑,
- 77', Mamic L. ↓, Latkovic A. ↑,
- 80', Ba L. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 1, Mitrovski D. ⚽,
- 88', Fetai F. ↓, Vranjkovic M. ↑,
- 88', Antolic D. ↓, Busnja D. ↑,
- 88', Vuk M. ↓, Cuic M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
44.5% | Draw
29.7% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Varaždin - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.18) |
3.17 ↓
(3.23) |
3.64 ↑
(3.36) |
6.6%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 1.
- Recent matches Varaždin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lokomotiva is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recently Lokomotiva have a series of home games.
- Varaždin will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Latkovic A.
(Inactive)
Mazari A.
(Inactive)
Mladenovski M.
(Yellow Cards)
Sierra J.
(Yellow Cards)
Tepsic N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Smakaj A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Varaždin: Marina M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Leovac M.
(Injury)
Pajac M.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 2 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16:29 (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Varaždin won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Varaždin has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Varaždin?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
21.02.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Varaždin
1:0
18.01.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Varaždin
3:2
23.11.2024
Varaždin
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:1
01.09.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Varaždin
0:1
13.04.2024
Varaždin
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0:2
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Gorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Osijek | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
