Lokeren vs Lommel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Сhallenger Pro League Lokeren - Lommel
Result
1:0
30/03/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 27
  • Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.09
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
79% (271/344)86% (399/463)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.40
Total shots
915
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
830
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
79% (271/344)86% (399/463)
Long passes
35% (15/43)57% (17/30)
Passes in final third
60% (38/63)77% (130/168)
Crosses
8% (1/12)21% (7/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.36
Fouls
1611
Tackles
63% (19/30)72% (13/18)
Duels won
5356
Clearances Total
3418
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
0.400.91
Goals prevented
0.40-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Nainggolan R. ,
  • 20', Santos A. 🟨,
  • 35', Prychynenko D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fontaine N. , Perez D. ,
  • 52', Siri N. 🟨,
  • 54', Janssen T. 🟨,
  • 60', Boonen I. , Marijnissen T. ,
  • 71', Pelupessy J. , Wuytens S. ,
  • 71', Santos A. , Montano J. ,
  • 76', Vinck J. , El Banouhi S. ,
  • 78', Brebels S. 🟨,
  • 79', van Duiven J. , Mununga T. ,
  • 81', Prychynenko D. 🟨,
  • 84', Owari H. , Vetokele I. ,
  • 90+3', Nainggolan R. , Van Daele C. ,

Chances of winning


Lokeren
46%
Draw
27.2%
Lommel
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 27.6% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 26.6% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Lokeren - Lommel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.15)
    3.4
    (3.36)
    3.45
    (3.19)
    7.8%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lokeren - Lommel?
  • Users Predictions: Lokeren will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).
    • Lokeren-Temse is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lommel is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lokeren-Temse will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Lokeren-Temse won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokeren - Lommel were as follows:
    29.11.2024 Lommel - Lokeren 1:1
    10.08.2024 Lommel - Lokeren 1:1
    Latest results of Lokeren
    15.03.2025 Lokeren - RFC Liège 2:1
    09.03.2025 RWDM Brussels - Lokeren 1:0
    02.03.2025 Genk U23 - Lokeren 1:2
    22.02.2025 Lokeren - Brugge U23 2:1
    16.02.2025 Francs Borains - Lokeren 1:2
    Latest results of Lommel
    08.03.2025 Zulte Waregem - Lommel 0:1
    02.03.2025 Lommel - Seraing 2:2
    22.02.2025 Lommel - Beveren 1:2
    15.02.2025 Anderlecht U23 - Lommel 5:0