Lokeren vs Lommel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 26
  • Referee: Boel N. (Ned)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.191.60
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
39
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
45
Passes
79% (284/359)75% (270/359)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.191.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.362.45
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
104
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
148
Shots outside the box
38
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
3324
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
720
Passes
79% (284/359)75% (270/359)
Long passes
47% (28/60)53% (23/43)
Passes in final third
74% (91/123)65% (70/108)
Crosses
25% (5/20)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.87
Throw ins
1726
Fouls
207
Tackles
85% (11/13)75% (12/16)
Duels won
3755
Clearances
1423
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
61
xGOT faced
2.451.36
Goals prevented
-0.550.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Seuntjens R. , Reyners T. (A),
  • 32', Van Aerschot S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 54', 0 - 2, van Duiven R. ,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Mabanza V. R. , Palacios J. (A),
  • 59', van Duiven R. , Tolinsson J. ,
  • 59', van Duiven R. 🟨,
  • 63', Pau M. 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Tolinsson J. (Own goal),
  • 72', Reyners T. , Vancsa Z. ,
  • 72', Pelupessy J. , Lopez L. ,
  • 73', van Duiven J. , Salah M. ,
  • 77', Pau M. , Van den Bergh R. ,
  • 81', Mabanza V. R. , Boere T. ,
  • 86', Lopez L. 🟨,
  • 87', Van Aerschot S. , Elejalde I. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Wouters D. , Tolinsson J. (A),

Chances of winning


Lokeren
35.7%
Draw
26.9%
Lommel
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 27.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 27.2% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokeren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Lokeren - Lommel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.47)
    3.42
    (3.32)
    2.47
    (2.58)
    8.8%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lokeren - Lommel?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lokeren will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lommel will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lommel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ))
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lokeren won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lokeren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokeren - Lommel were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Lommel - Lokeren 3:1
    30.03.2025 Lokeren - Lommel 1:0
    29.11.2024 Lommel - Lokeren 1:1
    10.08.2024 Lommel - Lokeren 1:1
    Latest results of Lokeren
    14.02.2026 RWDM Brussels - Lokeren 1:2
    01.02.2026 Kortrijk - Lokeren 3:2
    27.01.2026 Eupen - Lokeren 1:1
    Latest results of Lommel
    14.02.2026 Lommel - Anderlecht U23 2:0
    08.02.2026 Beveren - Lommel 2:0
    27.01.2026 RFC Liège - Lommel 1:0
    24.01.2026 Lommel - Eupen 3:2