Result
1:2
18/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 30
- Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (435/528) | 69% (176/256) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (435/528) | 69% (176/256) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 43% (28/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (58/93) | 59% (66/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Wouters D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', Gobitaka F. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
- 61', Amankwah Y. 🟨,
- 66', Guindo M. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
- 72', Owari H. ↓, Tewelde F. ↑,
- 72', van Duiven J. ↓, Vetokele I. ↑,
- 72', Montano J. ↓, Siri N. ↑,
- 72', Lalic L. ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
- 74', 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 0, Schoofs L. ⚽,
- 79', 1 - 1, Amankwah Y. (Own goal),
- 82', Lahssaini S. ↓, Maes O. ↑,
- 82', Botella I. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Belkheir M. ⚽, Maisonneuve M. (A),
- 90+5', Gobitaka F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lommel
15.4% | Draw
21.4% | RAAL La Louvière
63.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RAAL La Louvière's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Lommel - RAAL La Louvière Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6 ↑
(4.76) |
4.35 ↑
(4.04) |
1.48 ↓
(1.62) |
7.4%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lommel - RAAL La Louvière?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
RAAL La Louvière will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).
- Recent matches Lommel is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- La Louvière is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- La Louvière could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match La Louvière is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Lommel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lommel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
How many head-to-head matches has Lommel won against RAAL La Louvière?
Lommel has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Lommel?
RAAL La Louvière has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lommel - RAAL La Louvière were as follows:
24.11.2024
RAAL La Louvière
-
Lommel
5:1
24.09.2022
Lommel
-
RAAL La Louvière
2:0
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
