University College Dublin vs Longford Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/05/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
53
Corner kicks
36
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
97
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', McKenna D. 🟨,
  • 43', McCullagh M. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Raggett M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Lennox C. ,
  • 49', O'Brien A. 🟨,
  • 62', Murphy S. 🟨,
  • 70', Smith H. , Morley T. ,
  • 70', McCullagh M. , Cailloce K. ,
  • 72', Doran A. , Ugbesia S. ,
  • 72', Williams D. , Murtagh D. ,
  • 72', Paraschiv A. , Campbell F. ,
  • 74', Errity C. , Hough J. ,
  • 75', Lennox C. 🟨,
  • 81', Dignam L. , Bolton C. ,
  • 81', O'Regan L. , Cailloce L. ,
  • 87', Behan C. , Alonge M. ,

Chances of winning


University College Dublin
50.4%
Draw
27.2%
Longford Town
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 25.7% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.8% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • University College Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Longford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • University College Dublin - Longford Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.76)
    3.39
    (3.57)
    4.12
    (4.16)
    8.5%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for University College Dublin - Longford Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. UCD will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Longford will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for UCD: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCD won 3.
    • UCD is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Longford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, UCD is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that UCD will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UCD won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UCD won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between University College Dublin - Longford Town were as follows:
    07.03.2026 Longford Town - University College Dublin 0:0
    12.09.2025 University College Dublin - Longford Town 2:1
    09.05.2025 University College Dublin - Longford Town 1:1
    12.04.2025 Longford Town - University College Dublin 0:1
    18.10.2024 University College Dublin - Longford Town 2:2
    Latest results of University College Dublin
    Latest results of Longford Town
    Irish Division 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cork City1283121:91227
    2UC Dublin1373320:81224
    3Wexford1364319:15422
    4Athlone1362515:16-120
    5Cobh Ramblers1354414:16-219
    6Bray1345416:16017
    7Longford133558:11-314
    8Finn Harps1325612:18-611
    9Kerry1316612:18-69
    10Treaty United1215611:21-108

          Promotion ~ Premier Division
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: )